{"id":12640,"date":"2019-01-31T08:48:07","date_gmt":"2019-01-31T13:48:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=12640"},"modified":"2019-01-31T08:48:07","modified_gmt":"2019-01-31T13:48:07","slug":"before-the-open-jan-31-7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=12640","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Jan 31)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Thursday. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The <strong>Asian\/Pacific<\/strong> markets closed mostly up. Japan, Hong Kong, India and Indonesia each gained more than 1%. <strong>Europe, Africa and the Middle East<\/strong> are currently mixed. The UK, Poland, Turkey, the UAE, Russia, South Africa, Kenya and the Czech Republic are up; Denmark, Germany, Greece, Finland and Italy are down. Futures in the <strong>States<\/strong> point towards a slight up open for the cash market. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><!--more-->&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<br \/>\n<strong> BLOG: <\/strong><a style=\"font-weight: bold; font-size: medium;\" href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2018\/10\/11\/cci-everything-you-need-to-know\/\">CCI \u2013 Everything You Need to Know<\/a><br \/>\n&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The dollar is flat. Oil and copper are up. Gold and silver are up. Bonds are up. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Stories\/News from Seeking Alpha&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> One of the busiest days of earnings season is on deck, headlined by the quarterly results of General Electric (NYSE:GE) this morning and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) after the bell. It follows the figures of some big names yesterday, including Facebook (NASDAQ:FB), which rose 11% AH after reporting record Q4 profits and 1.52B daily active users, as well as Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), which slid 5% as CFO Deepak Ahuja left the automaker. Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) shares also headed south, falling 3% on slowing Azure growth.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Economy<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> U.S. stock index futures mainly hugged the flatline overnight after the Federal Reserve and Jerome Powell on Wednesday sparked a late party on Wall Street. The Dow and S&amp;P 500 both rose over 1.6%, while the Nasdaq scored gains of 2.2%. Combined with comments that the Fed&#8217;s balance sheet would remain larger than previously expected, the central bank expressed it would be &#8220;patient&#8221; before making any further rate moves.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The American economy will also recover most of the economic output lost during the federal government\u2019s partial shutdown, according to Powell. &#8220;We don&#8217;t know the ultimate resolution of the shutdown, which will leave some sort of imprint on first-quarter GDP&#8230; [But] if the shutdown is gone and there isn&#8217;t another shutdown, we\u2019ll get most of [the lost growth] back in the second quarter.&#8221;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Manufacturing activity in China contracted for the second-straight month in January &#8211; another sign the world\u2019s second-largest economy is slowing. The official manufacturing PMI came in at 49.5 amid domestic headwinds and the ongoing trade dispute with the U.S. China&#8217;s services sector posted stronger figures, recording a PMI of 54.7, helping cushion the impact of decelerating factory activity.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Italy is officially in a recession. Output in Europe&#8217;s fourth largest economy contracted 0.2% in Q4, on the heels of a 0.1% drop in the quarter before that, marking a fresh setback for the new anti-establishment government. Italy&#8217;s two-year government bond yield hit 0.243% on the news, falling 4 basis points to its lowest level since May 2018.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> German retail sales plummeted by 4.3% Y\/Y in December, the sharpest fall since 2007, sending a worrying signal about household spending. The decline was partly due to the comparison with a strong November which was boosted by pre-Christmas shopping and discount days, but also highlighted strong headwinds from the U.S.-Sino trade skirmish and broader economic troubles.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Stocks<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Hit by a slowdown in demand for memory chips, Samsung Electronics (OTC:SSNLF) warned of weaker earnings in 2019 as it posted a 29% drop in Q4 operating profit. The company also expects &#8220;overall annual earnings to decline&#8221; this year, although sales of memory products would begin to revive in the second half. Excitement is building for Samsung&#8217;s upcoming foldable smartphone and 5G-capable devices &#8211; and could help share prices, which tumbled 24% in 2018.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> European overnight earnings: Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE:RDS.A) +3.7% after delivering a surge in cash flow that will underpin &#8220;world-class&#8221; returns for investors. Nokia (NYSE:NOK) -6% as its outlook pointed to a bumpier 5G rollout. Unilever (NYSE:UN) -1.5% hurt by flat volume growth in developed markets. Roche (OTCQX:RHHBY) inched up with strong demand for its new range of medicines, while Diageo (NYSE:DEO) +4.5% unveiled a \u00a3660M stock buyback plan after increasing sales growth.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Deutsche Bank -3.4% premarket on reports that the embattled German lender is gearing up for a potential merger with rival Commerzbank (OTCPK:CRZBY). Bloomberg noted the deal is being brokered by the German government and would happen by mid-2019 if efforts to restructure the bank fell short of targets. Last week in Davos, German Finance Minister Peter Altmaier said he was willing to lend &#8220;political support&#8221; toward Deutsche Bank&#8217;s (NYSE:DB) recovery.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Sri Lanka has halted imports of Johnson &amp; Johnson&#8217;s (NYSE:JNJ) Baby Powder until the company proves it&#8217;s free from asbestos. On Dec. 14, Reuters reported that the company knew for decades that the cancer-causing mineral lurked in the product, leading to tests in several countries, including in India. J&amp;J has described the story as &#8220;one-sided, false, and inflammatory.&#8221;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Puma is releasing self-lacing smart shoes to take on Nike (NYSE:NKE), which recently unveiled its Adapt BB with a price tag of $350. Puma&#8217;s (OTCPK:PUMSY) high tech sneakers, called Fi, will cost $20 less and be available from Spring 2020. Each smart training shoe will have a battery based under its sole that can be charged through a wireless charging dock or by swapping out the batteries.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Amazon is hauling some cargo in Embark self-driving trucks on the I-10 interstate highway, according to CNBC sources and online photos. Amazon (AMZN) statement: &#8220;We are always innovating and working with innovative companies to improve the customer experience and safety of our team. We think successful over-the-road autonomy will create safer roadways and a better work environment for drivers on long-haul runs.\u201d<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Just days before the law is set to come into force, Lyft (LYFT) is suing New York City over its new $17.22\/hour minimum wage for drivers, which it argues would put it at a disadvantage with Uber (UBER). The dispute centers around the utilization rate: Lyft would like the minimum wage to be calculated across a whole week of driving, rather than on a ride-by-ride basis that would result in less waiting time.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Amid the deep freeze gripping the U.S. Midwest, CMS Energy (NYSE:CMS) has asked automakers to suspend operations to allow the utility to manage supply issues and a fire at a compressor station. General Motors (NYSE:GM) is temporarily suspending operations at 11 Michigan plants and its Warren Tech Center, while Fiat Chrysler (NYSE:FCAU) and Ford (NYSE:F) have agreed to &#8220;interrupt&#8221; production schedules.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> <strong>Wednesday&#8217;s Key Earnings<\/strong><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) +6.3% on a handsome profit beat.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Anthem (NYSE:ANTM) +9.1% speeding up its pharmacy contract.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> AT&amp;T (NYSE:T) -4.3% on weak Q4 wireless adds.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Boeing (NYSE:BA) +6.3% posting robust quarterly earnings.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Facebook (FB) +11.5% AH with record profits. Earnings call transcript<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> General Dynamics (NYSE:GD) -2.9% issuing downbeat guidance.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Hess Corp. (NYSE:HES) +4% driven by higher crude output.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> McDonald&#8217;s (NYSE:MCD) -0.2% despite stronger global comps.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Microsoft (MSFT) -2.7% AH on slowing Azure growth. Earnings call transcript<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Mondelez (NASDAQ:MDLZ) flat AH after in-line results.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Novartis (NYSE:NVS) -1.1% missing the Q4 consensus.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL) -3.6% AH on a disappointing Q1 outlook.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) +2.5% AH on strong guidance, EPS beat.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Sirius XM (NASDAQ:SIRI) +3.1% following record revenues.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Tesla (TSLA) -4.8% AH as its CFO retired. Earnings call transcript<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Visa (NYSE:V) -1.6% AH despite topping expectations.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Wynn Resorts (NASDAQ:WYNN) +3.3% following an EBITDA beat.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> <strong>Today&#8217;s Economic Calendar<\/strong><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 7:30 Challenger Job-Cut Report<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Initial Jobless Claims<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Personal Income and Outlays<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Employment Cost Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:45 Chicago PMI<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 New Home Sales<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 3:00 Farm Prices<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 4:30 PM Money Supply<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.morningstar.com\/earnings\/earnings-calendar.aspx\">Earnings<\/a><\/span> from Morningstar<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/mam.econoday.com\/\">Economic Numbers\/Reports<\/a><\/span> powered by ECONODAY<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Thursday. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly up. Japan, Hong Kong, India and Indonesia each gained more than 1%. Europe, Africa and the Middle East are currently mixed. The UK, Poland, Turkey, the UAE, Russia, South Africa, Kenya and the Czech Republic are up; Denmark, Germany, Greece, Finland and Italy are down. Futures [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12640"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=12640"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12640\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=12640"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=12640"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=12640"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}