{"id":12905,"date":"2019-05-03T07:51:17","date_gmt":"2019-05-03T12:51:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=12905"},"modified":"2019-05-03T07:51:17","modified_gmt":"2019-05-03T12:51:17","slug":"before-the-open-may-3-8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=12905","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (May 3)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Friday. Happy Employment Numbers Day. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The <strong>Asian\/Pacific<\/strong> markets were mixed. China and Taiwan moved up; South Korea, Indonesia and the Philippines moved down. <strong>Europe, Africa and the Middle East<\/strong> currently lean to the upside. The UK, Germany, South Africa, Finland, Norway and Sweden are up; Denmark, Poland, Hungary and Israel are down. Futures in the <strong>States<\/strong> point towards a moderate gap up open for the cash market. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><!--more-->&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<br \/>\n<strong> VIDEO: <\/strong><a style=\"font-weight: bold; font-size: medium;\" href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/dCVg_5WegY8\">The Difference Between Tops and Continuations<\/a><br \/>\n&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The dollar is up. Oil and copper are up. Gold and silver are flat. Bonds are down. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Here are the employment figures.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> unemployment rate: 3.6%<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> nonfarm payrolls: +263K<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> private payrolls:<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> average workweek: down 0.1 hours to 34.4 hours<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> hourly wages: up 06 cents to $27.77<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> labor participation rate:<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> March gains revised down from 196K to 189K.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> February gains raised from 33K to 56K.<\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Stories\/News from Seeking Alpha&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Dow futures are up 75 points, with S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq futures ahead by 0.3% and 0.5%, respectively, ahead of the Labor Department&#8217;s closely watched monthly employment report that&#8217;s likely to signal little desire to adjust monetary policy anytime soon. Nonfarm payrolls probably increased by 181K jobs last month after rising to 196K in March, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 3.8% and average hourly earnings likely climbing 0.3%. A solid official reading would bolster the notion the U.S. economy is on track for its longest expansion ever, further boosting the greenback and prospects for corporate earnings.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Fedspeak coming up<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Following Jerome Powell&#8217;s &#8220;transitory&#8221; remarks regarding inflation, market watchers are again on the lookout for more Fedspeak. Speeches from seven Fed officials are on the radar today, just days after the central bank kept policy unchanged despite a strategy rethink and calls to tilt dovish. Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida will additionally deliver a speech about &#8220;Models, Markets, and Monetary Policy&#8221; at a conference in Stanford, CA, at 11:30 a.m. ET.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> IPO watch<\/span><br \/>\nYesterday&#8217;s rally in Beyond Meat (NASDAQ:BYND) is beyond description, with shares sizzling 135% to $65.75 and giving the company a market value of $3.52B. &#8220;I think the reaction from the market is a reflection of the fact that we&#8217;re highly focused on collapsing the gap between our products and animal protein,&#8221; said CEO Ethan Brown. The red-hot demand for Beyond Meat shares &#8211; which are up another 17% premarket &#8211; could be considered a positive sign for Uber (UBER) ahead of its public launch next week.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Project Libra<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) is recruiting dozens of financial firms and online merchants to help launch a crypto-based payments system, WSJ reports. Users would be able to use the digital coins to send payments to each other and make purchases both on Facebook and across the internet. Another idea under consideration is rewarding Facebook users with fractions of the currency in exchange for looking at advertisements. Seeking total investments of about $1B, Facebook is talking with Visa (NYSE:V), Mastercard (NYSE:MA) and First Data (NYSE:FDC) for money that would underpin the value of the coin and protect it from wild price swings.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Berkshire takes stake in Amazon<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> &#8220;One of the fellows in the office that manage money&#8230; bought some Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN),&#8221; Warren Buffett (BRK.A, BRK.B) told CNBC ahead of this weekend&#8217;s Capitalist Woodstock. The Oracle himself did not make the purchases (meaning it was either Todd Combs or Ted Weschler), but Buffett said he&#8217;s been a fan of Amazon and &#8220;an idiot for not buying.&#8221; Berkshire Hathaway has lagged the broader market this year, with the stock up just 6.6% in 2019, compared to a nearly 18% gain for the S&amp;P 500.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> More bank earnings<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> HSBC (NYSE:HSBC) reported banner first quarter results as wealth management and retail banking earnings lifted group pretax profits 31% to $6.35B Y\/Y. Revenue growth outpaced the increase in expenses, a phenomenon known in industry jargon as &#8220;positive jaws,&#8221; while net interest margin was 1.59% (lower than the 1.66% seen at the end of 2018). CEO John Flint also said the bank remains &#8220;alert to risks in the global economy&#8221; and has positioned itself accordingly in terms of costs and investment. HSBC +2.4% premarket.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Sinclair, Disney ink $10B network deal<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Sinclair Broadcast Group (NASDAQ:SBGI), the largest U.S. broadcast station owner, has reached a deal valued at more than $10B to buy 21 regional sports networks from Walt Disney (NYSE:DIS), sources told the WSJ. Disney, which owns cable sports network ESPN, acquired the networks as part of its $71B acquisition of Twenty-First Century Fox&#8217;s (NASDAQ:FOX) film and TV assets, but was required by the DOJ to divest Fox&#8217;s sports programming for regional and local markets.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Tesla self-driving to $500B<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Citibank and Goldman Sachs hosted a &#8220;broad investor call&#8221; with Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) executives on Thursday after the EV maker announced plans for a $2B capital raise. Elon Musk said the company&#8217;s vehicle, solar and energy businesses were just a backstop of value, but self-driving systems in development now will turn Tesla into a business with a half-a-trillion dollar market cap (up from $42B currently). CFO Zach Kirkhorn also reiterated goals to deliver 90K to 100K vehicles in Q2, and between 360K and 400K vehicles in 2019. TSLA +1% premarket.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> What else is happening&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Facebook (FB) bans &#8216;dangerous individuals&#8217; including Farrakhan, Jones and Yiannopoulos.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> YouTube (GOOG, GOOGL) shows off original programming under new free strategy.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Hoping to steady its media business, Verizon (NYSE:VZ) seeks to unload Tumblr.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Foxconn (OTC:FXCOF) will invest further in Wisconsin, where its $10B plans are in question.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Ready for takeoff&#8230; SpaceX (SPACE) launches another Falcon 9 this weekend.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> General Motors (NYSE:GM) in talks with Missouri governor for $1B plant expansion.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Insys Therapeutics (NASDAQ:INSY) founder, former execs found guilty in criminal fentanyl bribery case.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Contributor Elazar Advisors talks memory chip pricing and related company earnings.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> <strong>Thursday&#8217;s Key Earnings<\/strong><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ:ATVI) -5% AH amid downbeat guidance.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> CBS (NYSE:CBS) -0.3% AH as record revenues trailed expectations.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> DowDuPont (NYSE:DWDP) -6.7% on weak chemical demand.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG) -3% AH +2.4% on Q1 beat, dividend hike.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Expedia (NASDAQ:EXPE) -3.5% AH as forex swings cut into revenue.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> First Solar (NASDAQ:FSLR) -3.6% AH posting a major loss.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ:GILD) +0.8% AH turning the corner.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Herbalife (NYSE:HLF) -4.1% AH after Q1 miss, guidance cut.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Skyworks Solutions (NASDAQ:SWKS) -3.6% AH giving an in-line outlook.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Teva Pharma (NYSE:TEVA) -2.2% following mixed results.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> U.S. Steel (NYSE:X) +5.1% AH after a strong earnings beat.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Under Armour (NYSE:UAA) +3.5% on improving margins.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Weight Watchers (NASDAQ:WW) +17.2% AH announcing better-than-expected results.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> <strong>Today&#8217;s Economic Calendar<\/strong><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Non-farm payrolls<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 International trade in goods<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Retail Inventories (Advance)<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Wholesale Inventories (Advance)<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:45 PMI Services Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 ISM Non-Manufacturing Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:15 Fed&#8217;s Evans: \u201cGlobal Economies at the Crossroads: Growing Together While Growing Apart?\u201d<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 11:30 Fed\u2019s Clarida: \u201cModels, Markets, and Monetary Policy&#8221;<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 1:00 PM Baker-Hughes Rig Count<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 1:45 PM Fed&#8217;s Williams: \u201cTying Down the Anchor: Monetary Policy Rules and the Lower Bound on Interest Rates\u201d<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 3:00 PM Fed&#8217;s Bowman: \u201cFriedman and the Long History of Monetary Policy Rules\u201d<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 7:45 PM Fed&#8217;s Bullard: \u201cStrategies For Monetary Policy\u201d<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 7:45 PM Fed&#8217;s Daly: \u201cStrategies For Monetary Policy\u201d<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 7:45 PM Fed&#8217;s Kaplan: \u201cStrategies For Monetary Policy\u201d<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 7:45 PM Fed&#8217;s Mester: \u201cStrategies For Monetary Policy\u201d<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.morningstar.com\/earnings\/earnings-calendar.aspx\">Earnings<\/a><\/span> from Morningstar<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Friday. Happy Employment Numbers Day. The Asian\/Pacific markets were mixed. China and Taiwan moved up; South Korea, Indonesia and the Philippines moved down. Europe, Africa and the Middle East currently lean to the upside. The UK, Germany, South Africa, Finland, Norway and Sweden are up; Denmark, Poland, Hungary and Israel are down. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12905"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=12905"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12905\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=12905"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=12905"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=12905"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}