{"id":2414,"date":"2009-12-04T08:35:16","date_gmt":"2009-12-04T13:35:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=2414"},"modified":"2009-12-04T08:35:16","modified_gmt":"2009-12-04T13:35:16","slug":"before-the-open-dec-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=2414","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Dec 4)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Good morning. Happy Friday.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">By itself, yesterday&#8217;s late-day sell-off wasn&#8217;t a big deal. The overall trend remains in tact, and the 3-week consolidation period continues. But looking a little deeper, a major warning sign may have been flash &#8211; a possible &#8220;canary in a coal mine.&#8221;<!--more--><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The financials got crushed. They&#8217;ve been lagging &#8211; I&#8217;ve noted it constantly the last several months. How many times have I said: &#8220;The trend is up, but the banks and small caps are lagging?&#8221;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">But despite the lagging, the financials never broke down or traded in a way to negatively influence the rest of the market&#8230;until possibly now. In fact last night while looking at charts, I was reminded of the summer of 2007 when all the investment banks suddenly broke down while the overall market remained in good shape. The market rolled over soon after; I wonder if this the same will happen this time. At the very least, keep stops super tight on longs because if the market falls apart, it can fall apart fast.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Here&#8217;s $BKX. It traded above horizontal resistance yesterday and immediately got pushed back.<\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/i\/bkx120409.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Representing the large banks, here&#8217;s WFC. It broke down yesterday on huge volume and has one more decent support level at 26.<\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/i\/wfc120409.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Representing credit, here&#8217;s AXP. Big down day on big volume.<\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/i\/axp120409.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Here&#8217;s GS. I&#8217;m not sure what they represent, but it&#8217;s noteworthy the stock is nowhere near its high at a time the S&amp;P made a new high yesterday. And it closed below support yesterday.<\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/i\/gs120409.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Maybe the weakness was due to Bernanke acting tough yesterday &#8211; he wants to get reappointed. Who knows. In any case, we cannot ingore the huge selling pressure from the financial group.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Employment numbers are out&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Unemployment rate is 10.0% (down from 10.2%)<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Nonfarm payrolls dropped 11,000<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Futures spiked on the news. It&#8217;ll be a fun day.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">headlines at <a href=\"http:\/\/biz.yahoo.com\/apf\/archive.html\">Yahoo Finance<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/briefing.com\/Investor\/Public\/Calendars\/UpgradesDowngrades.htm\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=2382\">Earnings Reports<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=2384\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\nvar gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\");\ndocument.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\nvar pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\");\npageTracker._initData();\npageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Friday. By itself, yesterday&#8217;s late-day sell-off wasn&#8217;t a big deal. The overall trend remains in tact, and the 3-week consolidation period continues. But looking a little deeper, a major warning sign may have been flash &#8211; a possible &#8220;canary in a coal mine.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2414"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2414"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2414\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2414"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2414"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2414"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}