{"id":3564,"date":"2010-10-06T07:31:43","date_gmt":"2010-10-06T12:31:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=3564"},"modified":"2010-10-06T07:31:43","modified_gmt":"2010-10-06T12:31:43","slug":"before-the-open-oct-6-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=3564","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Oct 6)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Good morning. Happy Wednesday.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The world is green. Every index in Asian\/Pacific closed up including several 1% winners. Every index in Europe is up &#8211; several 1% winners there too. Futures here in the States point towards a flat open for the cash market.<!--more--><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Two weeks of consolidation led half the market participants to believe a top was in place and a significant pullback in the works. The other half (me included) expected the intermediate term up trend to remain in place but perhaps a little weakness in the near term. The market surprised both groups by gapping up and rallying hard yesterday on strong volume. The market corrected with time, not price.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">I reiterate my belief the market will test its April highs this winter, and after yesterday&#8217;s strong day, it may be sooner rather than later. The S&amp;P high was ~ 1220. That&#8217;s only 60 points above the current price. But let&#8217;s not get too giddy about the possibilities. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">In my opinion there are two key drivers to the market movement right now: bonds and the US dollar. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">When money comes out of bonds, the market rallies. Here&#8217;s a chart which relates the two.<\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/i\/tltspx100610.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">And when the dollar drops, the market rallies. Here&#8217;s a chart.<\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/i\/usdspx100610.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">I&#8217;ll be watching both bonds and the dollar to confirm yesterday&#8217;s breakout. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">I posted a handful of long set ups on the Message Board last night. More after the open.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">headlines at <a href=\"http:\/\/biz.yahoo.com\/apf\/archive.html\">Yahoo Finance<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/briefing.com\/Investor\/Public\/Calendars\/UpgradesDowngrades.htm\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=3551\">Earnings Reports<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=3553\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\nvar gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\");\ndocument.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\nvar pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\");\npageTracker._initData();\npageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Wednesday. The world is green. Every index in Asian\/Pacific closed up including several 1% winners. Every index in Europe is up &#8211; several 1% winners there too. Futures here in the States point towards a flat open for the cash market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3564"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3564"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3564\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3564"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3564"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3564"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}