{"id":4716,"date":"2011-08-05T07:39:23","date_gmt":"2011-08-05T12:39:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=4716"},"modified":"2011-08-05T07:39:23","modified_gmt":"2011-08-05T12:39:23","slug":"before-the-open-aug-5-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=4716","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Aug 5)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Good morning. Happy Friday. Happy Employment Numbers Day.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The Asian\/Pacific markets got crushed. Every market dropped, most lost more than 3%. Europe is down across-the-board. Losses aren&#8217;t as bad as Asia, but they&#8217;re still pretty stiff. Futures here in the States point towards a flat open, but I&#8217;m writing this prior to the employment numbers.<!--more--><br \/>\n<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">When I stated my SPX target was 1200, I figured it would take a couple weeks to get there. No way did I think we&#8217;d be there in one week. Here&#8217;s the chart&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/i\/spx080511.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">I looked at many charts last night. They are more destroyed than I can ever remember &#8211; even during the financial crisis. So many stocks have not just broken down, but have free-falled. Some stocks (with no news) have literally lost two years worth of gains in two weeks. Obviously the market is not healthy. It&#8217;s due for a bounce, but a bounce will get sold into. Absent the Fed stepping in, the market has no chance of just bottoming and moving up. Sure it&#8217;ll bounce, but there are too many bag holders wishing they would have sold at the beginning of last week. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Here are the employment numbers: <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">unemployment rate: 9.1% (from 9.2%)<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">nonfarm payrolls: up 117K (vs. 84K estimated)<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">private payrolls: 154K <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">average workweek: will post when I see the number<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">hourly earnings: up 10 cents, or 0.4%<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The market&#8217;s reaction was straight up. Let the good times roll. I think 120K jobs is needed just to keep up with population growth&#8230;and of course lots more to bring the unemployment rate down. So things aren&#8217;t really better, they&#8217;re less bad, and that&#8217;s a reason to be optimistic? S&amp;P futures went from being up a point to up 20 and now are up about 11. I expect today to be a busy day. I&#8217;ll have more to say after the open.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">headlines at <a href=\"http:\/\/biz.yahoo.com\/apf\/archive.html\">Yahoo Finance<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">yesterday&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=4714\">sector performance<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=4691\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=4693\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\nvar gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\");\ndocument.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\nvar pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\");\npageTracker._initData();\npageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Friday. Happy Employment Numbers Day. The Asian\/Pacific markets got crushed. Every market dropped, most lost more than 3%. Europe is down across-the-board. Losses aren&#8217;t as bad as Asia, but they&#8217;re still pretty stiff. Futures here in the States point towards a flat open, but I&#8217;m writing this prior to the employment numbers.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4716"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4716"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4716\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4716"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4716"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4716"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}