{"id":5631,"date":"2012-05-18T07:32:25","date_gmt":"2012-05-18T12:32:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=5631"},"modified":"2012-05-18T07:32:25","modified_gmt":"2012-05-18T12:32:25","slug":"before-the-open-may-18-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=5631","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (May 18)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Good morning. Happy Friday.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly down. Japan and South Korea dropped 3% or more, Taiwan and Australia more than 2%, China, Hong Kong, Indonesia and Singapore more than 1%. Europe is currently mixed. Greece is up almost 3%, Norway and Stockholm down around 2%. Futures here in the States point towards a moderate gap up open for the cash market.<!--more--><br \/>\n<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The dollar is flat. Oil is flat, copper is up. Gold and silver are up.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Facebook (FB) starts trading today on the Nas. It&#8217;s a great American success story that shows upward mobility still exits. Anyone who is smart, works hard and is lucky can make it big in the USA. I&#8217;m not buying the stock&#8230;mostly because I&#8217;m a technical trader who needs at least a couple months of data to make trading\/investing decisions. But I think it&#8217;ll do just fine. Even if it is overvalued, purely from a supply\/demand standpoint, there aren&#8217;t that many social media companies to choose from. It has a massive user base. Even if it hasn&#8217;t monitized its base as well as it could have, it&#8217;s got such a big foot print, that if it figures out revenue stream #2, the stock can take off. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Moving on, I felt some panic in the air yesterday. It&#8217;s the first time this month I sensed the bulls throwing in the towel. I could feel the frustration. I could feel the disbelief. Those who held looking for one last bounce to exit positions are flat out furious. But now that some panic has begun, we&#8217;re likely close to a tradable bottom. Many breadth indicators I follow are at very low levels &#8211; levels that produced bottoms in the past. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Here&#8217;s an example of one of those indicators&#8230;the 10-day MA of the NYSE AD line. This is the second lowest level since the August meltdown. If you&#8217;re short, great. Manage your positions wisely. If you&#8217;re not short, in most cases it&#8217;s too late. You have no choice but to wait.<\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/i\/ad051812.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The bulls are dead, but soon the sellers will run out of ammo, and we&#8217;ll get a bounce. Have a plan, be ready.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">headlines at <a href=\"http:\/\/biz.yahoo.com\/apf\/archive.html\">Yahoo Finance<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">headlines at <a href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/newsviewer\">MarketWatch<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=5611\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=5613\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\nvar gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\");\ndocument.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\nvar pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\");\npageTracker._initData();\npageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Friday. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly down. Japan and South Korea dropped 3% or more, Taiwan and Australia more than 2%, China, Hong Kong, Indonesia and Singapore more than 1%. Europe is currently mixed. Greece is up almost 3%, Norway and Stockholm down around 2%. Futures here in the States point towards [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5631"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5631"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5631\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5631"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5631"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5631"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}