{"id":5800,"date":"2012-07-12T07:28:57","date_gmt":"2012-07-12T12:28:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=5800"},"modified":"2012-07-12T07:28:57","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T12:28:57","slug":"before-the-open-jul-12-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=5800","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Jul 12)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Good morning. Happy Thursday.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly down. Hong Kong and South Korea dropped more than 2%; Japan and Taiwan dropped more than 1%. Europe is currently down across the board, but London and Greece are the only 1% losers. Futures here in the States point towards a big gap down for the cash market.<!--more--><br \/>\n<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The dollar is up. Oil and copper are down. Gold and silver are down.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">San Bernardino has become the third California city to file for bankruptcy in the last couple weeks. Now that a couple have done it, the negative stigma is rapidly being wiped away. Many more will do it in the coming months.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The FOMC minutes revealed the Fed is open to more stimulus but the economy will have to get worse for there to be a consensus.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Initial jobless claims come out an hour before today&#8217;s open. The following chart has been making rounds on the internet. In blue is the S&amp;P 500. In red is the weekly initial jobless claims number. The correlation isn&#8217;t perfect, but it&#8217;s close enough to get your attention. If the weekly jobless number starts to increase (move down &#8211; note the left side scale), the market isn&#8217;t likely to rally. It&#8217;s something to pay attention to &#8211; especially since the monthly unemployment rate is a joke.<\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/pm\/joblessclaims071112.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">SVU is getting clobbered in premarket trading. They suspended their dividend and are said to be mulling their options including possibly selling the company.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Here&#8217;s an update of the 60-min S&amp;P chart. The index will open below support. That doesn&#8217;t automatically mean lights out, but added with the <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=5791\">other warning recent warnings<\/a> things are rapidly getting worse.<\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/i\/spx071212.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Be defensive out there. There are a few oil stocks that look good and the REIT group is nicely set up. Otherwise I have little interest going long. On the short side, in most cases it&#8217;s too late to go short. Stocks have fallen many consecutive days, so I wouldn&#8217;t want to chase them. Whatever the next trending move is, there will be lots of time to jump aboard. More after the open.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">headlines at <a href=\"http:\/\/biz.yahoo.com\/apf\/archive.html\">Yahoo Finance<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">headlines at <a href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/newsviewer\">MarketWatch<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=5783\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=5785\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\nvar gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\");\ndocument.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\nvar pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\");\npageTracker._initData();\npageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Thursday. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly down. Hong Kong and South Korea dropped more than 2%; Japan and Taiwan dropped more than 1%. Europe is currently down across the board, but London and Greece are the only 1% losers. Futures here in the States point towards a big gap down for the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5800"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5800"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5800\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5800"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5800"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5800"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}