{"id":5852,"date":"2012-08-02T07:34:08","date_gmt":"2012-08-02T12:34:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=5852"},"modified":"2012-08-02T07:34:08","modified_gmt":"2012-08-02T12:34:08","slug":"before-the-open-aug-2-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=5852","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Aug 2)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Good morning. Happy Thursday.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mixed. China, Hong Kong, South Korea and Singapore moved down; New Zealand moved up, but nothing moved more than 1%. Europe is currenly mostly up. Switzerland and Greece are up about 1%. Futures here in the States point towards a positive open for the cash market.<!--more--><br \/>\n<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The dollar is down. Oil is up, copper is down. Gold and silver are up.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The European Central Bank left its target rate unchanged at 0.75%.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The Bank of England held its benchmark rate unchanged at 0.50%. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The Fed did their thing yesterday, and now that Europe has made similar accouncements, focus shifts to tomorrow&#8217;s employment numbers. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Many of the divergences I&#8217;ve discussed remain in place. On Monday the S&amp;P made a higher high while the Russell small caps and S&amp;P mid caps failed to match the movement. Yesterday most of the indexes dropped a small amount; the Russell dropped a bunch, thus making it much harder to negate the divergence. Here&#8217;s a chart comparing the three indexes. <\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/www.leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/i\/spxrutmid080212.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Why do I keep talking about this? Well, mostly because it&#8217;s important, and I&#8217;m not one that needs a laundry list of reasons to form a bias. Having a list of 10 criteria and then saying: &#8220;7 of 10 are bearish, so therefore I&#8217;m bearish&#8221; is a terrible way to form an opinion. Often there is only one or two criteria that needs to be keyed on, and the rest are just noise or distractions.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Don&#8217;t make trading harder than it is. Most of a stock&#8217;s movement is based on the overall market and group it belongs to. Trade in the direction of the trend (there is no dominant trend right now); identify the best groups (groups run hot and cold as money rotates from one to the next); play the best stocks in those groups. And if it&#8217;s not obvious, take a pass. Better trades will set up. More after the open.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">headlines at <a href=\"http:\/\/biz.yahoo.com\/apf\/archive.html\">Yahoo Finance<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">headlines at <a href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/newsviewer\">MarketWatch<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=5838\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=5840\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Thursday. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mixed. China, Hong Kong, South Korea and Singapore moved down; New Zealand moved up, but nothing moved more than 1%. Europe is currenly mostly up. Switzerland and Greece are up about 1%. Futures here in the States point towards a positive open for the cash market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5852"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5852"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5852\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5852"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5852"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5852"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}