{"id":6408,"date":"2013-02-19T07:35:34","date_gmt":"2013-02-19T12:35:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=6408"},"modified":"2013-02-19T07:35:34","modified_gmt":"2013-02-19T12:35:34","slug":"before-the-open-feb-19","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=6408","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Feb 19)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Good morning. Happy Tuesday. Hope you enjoyed your extra day off.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mixed. China and Hong Kong dropped; India and New Zealand rallied. Europe is currently mostly up. France, Germany, Amsterdam and Stockholm are posting solid gains. Futures in the States point towards a slightly up open for the cash market.<!--more--><br \/>\n<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The dollar is flat. Oil and copper are down. Gold is up, silver is down.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">We enter this new week with the S&amp;P on a 7-week winning streak, but volume is falling off and a couple short term indicators are suggesting some near term weakness is in order to allow the charts and indicators to reset. Specifically, the % of S&amp;P stocks trading at a new 20-day high and the % of S&amp;P stocks trading above their 20-day MAs has been declining for two weeks. Mathematically this can persist in the near term, but over time it&#8217;s impossible to maintain. Either the market will come down &#8211; just in the near term &#8211; or the indicators need to reverse. Here are the charts with the indicators smoothed with a 10-day MA.<\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/pm\/iihgh021713.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/pm\/iima021713.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">But this isn&#8217;t much different than the last month. It seems there has always been a couple reasons the market should soften in the near term, but this is exactly why it hasn&#8217;t. When the market has a mind of its own, it travels the proverbial wall of worry. It travels a path to frustrate the most people. In this case, that path points up because so many traders and funds are on the sidelines waiting for a chance to get long.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Overall I still like the long side, but in the near term you gotta when when the music will stop playing. Manage positions wisely. Don&#8217;t get lazy. More after the open.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">headlines at <a href=\"http:\/\/biz.yahoo.com\/apf\/archive.html\">Yahoo Finance<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">headlines at <a href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/newsviewer\">MarketWatch<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2013\/02\/09\/earnings-feb-9\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2013\/02\/09\/economic-numbers-feb-9\/\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n  var gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\"); document.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n  var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Tuesday. Hope you enjoyed your extra day off. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mixed. China and Hong Kong dropped; India and New Zealand rallied. Europe is currently mostly up. France, Germany, Amsterdam and Stockholm are posting solid gains. Futures in the States point towards a slightly up open for the cash market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6408"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6408"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6408\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6408"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6408"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6408"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}