{"id":6726,"date":"2013-06-03T07:29:41","date_gmt":"2013-06-03T12:29:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=6726"},"modified":"2013-06-03T07:29:41","modified_gmt":"2013-06-03T12:29:41","slug":"before-the-open-jun-3-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=6726","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Jun 3)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Good morning. Happy Monday. Hope you had a nice weekend.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The Asian\/Pacific markets closed down across the board. Japan dropped almost 4%; Indonesia lost almost 2%. Europe is currently mixed. Belgium and London are down more than 1%; there are no big winners to the upside. Futures here in the States point towards a moderate gap up open for the cash market.<!--more--><br \/>\n<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The dollar is down. Oil and copper are up. Gold and silver are up.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">I don&#8217;t have much to add to my weekend comments posted in the Index Report or <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2013\/06\/02\/video-state-of-the-market-10\/\">video<\/a>.. Last week finished with lots of selling pressure, and several of the breadth charts are at levels they haven&#8217;t visited since the November bottom. So, by some measures, the current mini correction is already acting a little different than the previous couple this year. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The market could just melt down here. If you find yourself negotiating with the market for higher prices so you can exit underwater positions, you&#8217;re best off just getting out. It&#8217;s the kiss of death for a trader to allow a small loss to turn into a big loss, and that&#8217;s what happens more times than not when you hope for one more bounce. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">There are reasons to be bearish&#8230;some breadth indicators acting different than they have, talk of Fed winding down QE, bonds rallying.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">There are reasons to be bullish&#8230;long term trend is still solidly up, tapering QE doesn&#8217;t mean shutting it off cold turkey, so there&#8217;ll still be accommodation going forward, there was lots of bearish talk this weekend, too much bearish talk.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">I could argue for a melt down right now&#8230;I can also argue for a move down that traps the bears and then a spring board up. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Be on your toes. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Even if a top is forming, they take time&#8230;weeks or months. Unless something totally unexpected happens (unemployment jumps to 9%), the market isn&#8217;t going to just fall apart over night.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Here are some stories from individual companies from barcharts.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Cracker Barrel (CBRL -0.01%) reported Q3 EPS of $1.02, better than consensus of 94 cents and raised guidance on fiscal 2013 EPS to $4.75-$4.85, above consensus of $4.79.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The NY Post reported that Apple (AAPL -0.41%) and Warner Music reached a streaming music deal.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">SunTrust upgraded Best Buy (BBY -0.68%) to &#8220;Buy&#8221; and named it a new &#8220;Top Pick.&#8221;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Plum Creek Timber (PCL -0.15%) was upgraded to &#8220;Buy&#8221; from &#8220;Neutral&#8221; at BofA\/Merrill.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">F5 Networks (FFIV -1.08%) was downgraded to &#8220;Equal Weight&#8221; from &#8220;Overweight&#8221; at Morgan Stanley.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">MetLife (MET -0.29%) was upgraded to &#8220;Buy&#8221; from &#8220;Hold&#8221; at Deutsche Bank who rasied their price target on the stock to $51 from $46.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Reuters reported that Samsung picks the Intel (INTC +0.29%) &#8220;CLover Trail&#8221; processor for its upcoming Galaxy 3 Tablet.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">United Technologies&#8217; (UTX -1.10%) Sikorsky Aircraft is awarded a $435 million government contract modification to procure four CH-53K System Demonstration Test Article aircraft.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">CEMEX (CX -0.35%) announced that it plans to expand the production capacity at its Odessa, Texas cement plant by 345,000 metric tons to nearly 900,000 metric tons per year in order to keep pace with rapidly growing demand in its West Texas market led mainly by the oil and gas industry.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Deutsche Bank upgraded Morgan Stanley (MS +0.31%) to &#8220;Buy&#8221; from &#8220;Hold&#8221; and raised its price target for the stock to $30 from $20.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">OmniVision (OVTI +19.24%) spiked nearly 16% higher in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 31 cents, well ahead of consensus of 21 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Krispy Kreme (KKD +21.46%) climbed nearly 10% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 EPS of 20 cents, better than consensus of 17 cents, and said same-store-sales were up 11% in the first 3 weeks of May.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Orange County of California awards SAIC (SAI -4.92%) a $102 million IT services contract.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Guess (GES +8.28%) rose over 7% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 14 cents, better than consensus of 8 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Lionsgate (LGF +2.75%) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 66 cents, better than consensus of 44 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Esterline (ESL -0.42%) reported Q2 EPS of $1.12, lower than consensus of $1.25, and lowered guidance on fiscal 2013 EPS to $5.30 to $5.50, weaker than consensus of $5.58.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Again, be on your toes. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">headlines at <a href=\"http:\/\/biz.yahoo.com\/apf\/archive.html\">Yahoo Finance<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">headlines at <a href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/newsviewer\">MarketWatch<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2013\/06\/01\/earnings-jun-3-7\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2013\/06\/01\/economic-numbers-jun-3-7\/\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n  var gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\"); document.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n  var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Monday. Hope you had a nice weekend. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed down across the board. Japan dropped almost 4%; Indonesia lost almost 2%. Europe is currently mixed. Belgium and London are down more than 1%; there are no big winners to the upside. Futures here in the States point towards a moderate [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6726"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6726"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6726\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6726"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6726"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6726"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}