{"id":6777,"date":"2013-06-21T07:46:38","date_gmt":"2013-06-21T12:46:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=6777"},"modified":"2013-06-21T07:46:38","modified_gmt":"2013-06-21T12:46:38","slug":"before-the-open-jun-21-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=6777","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Jun 21)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Good morning. Happy Friday.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly down. Indonesia dropped 2.5%; South Korea and Taiwan lost more than 1%. Japan rallied 1.7%. Europe currently leans to the upside. London, Switzerland, Amsterdam and France are leading. Greece and the Czech Republic are pulling up the rear. Futures here in the States point towards a moderate gap up open for the cash market.<!--more--><br \/>\n<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The dollar is up slightly. Oil and copper are up. Gold and silver are up.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The market got clobbered yesterday. There&#8217;s no way to spin it. It was a good old fashioned blood bath&#8230;the single worst day in several months. The bulls never had a chance. Two waves of selling &#8211; one in the morning and one in the afternoon &#8211; sandwiched range bound movement during the mid day session. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Here&#8217;s the S&amp;P daily. The two trendlines and the 50-day MA were all penetrated. <\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/i\/spx062113-1.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">In my eyes the last line of defense is around 1575. That&#8217;s where a trendline drawn parallel to resistance and through the bottom of the pattern comes in. I see potential tops do this enough times for me to always be on the lookout for it&#8230;what looks like a top morphs into a falling wedge or rectangle, and then the underlying takes off again. I&#8217;m not predicting this; I&#8217;m just pointing it out.<\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/i\/spx062113-2.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Otherwise the path of least resistance is down. The charts tell me to favor shorts, and while there&#8217;ll always be pops along the way (the market&#8217;s biggest rallies take place in downtrends), I think the S&amp;P drops to the low 1500&#8217;s. After that I re-assess things. I&#8217;m not making long term predictions&#8230;just a summer expectation that could take a week or a month to play out.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Here are stock-specific stories from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">CarMax (KMX -6.11%) reported Q1 EPS of 64 cents, better than consensus of 58 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Cardinal Health (CAH -2.69%) was upgraded to &#8220;Outperform&#8221; from &#8220;Market Perform&#8221; at William Blair.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Newmont Mining (NEM -6.74%) was downgraded to &#8220;Neutral&#8221; from &#8220;Buy&#8221; at UBS following a lowered gold price target at the firm.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Facebook (FB -1.69%) was upgraded to &#8220;Buy&#8221; from &#8220;Neutral&#8221; at UBS who also raised their price target on the stock to $30 from $28.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Darden Restaurants (DRI -2.64%) reported Q4 EPS of $1.02, weaker than consensus of $1.04.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Forest Oil (FST -4.44%) will replace Enzo Biochem (ENZ -1.73%) in the S&amp;P SmallCap 600 as of the June 28 close.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">News Corp. (NWSA -2.95%) will replace Apollo Group (APOL -0.75%) in the S&amp;P 500 and Apollo Group will replace Forest Oil (FST -4.44%) in the S&amp;P MidCap 400 as of the June 28 close.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">iCAD (ICAD -1.37%) announced approval by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for use of the company\u2019s SecondLook mammography computer-aided detection system.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">TIBCO (TIBX -1.73%) reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 18 cents, right on consensus, and reported Q2 revenue of $245.8 million, slightly below consensus of $246.55 million.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Oracle (ORCL -2.58%) slumped nearly 8% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 87 cents, right on consensus, and said Q4 adjusted revenue was $11.0 billion, slightly below consensus of $11.12 billion. Oracle also raised its quarterly dividend to 12 cents from 6 cents, announced a $12 billion share buyback program, and said it will list its stock on the NYSE.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">headlines at <a href=\"http:\/\/biz.yahoo.com\/apf\/archive.html\">Yahoo Finance<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">headlines at <a href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/newsviewer\">MarketWatch<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2013\/06\/15\/before-the-open-jun-17-21\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2013\/06\/15\/economic-numbers-jun-17-21\/\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n  var gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\"); document.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n  var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Friday. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly down. Indonesia dropped 2.5%; South Korea and Taiwan lost more than 1%. Japan rallied 1.7%. Europe currently leans to the upside. London, Switzerland, Amsterdam and France are leading. Greece and the Czech Republic are pulling up the rear. Futures here in the States point towards a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6777"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6777"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6777\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6777"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6777"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6777"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}