{"id":7124,"date":"2013-10-31T07:28:33","date_gmt":"2013-10-31T12:28:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=7124"},"modified":"2013-10-31T07:28:33","modified_gmt":"2013-10-31T12:28:33","slug":"before-the-open-oct-31-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=7124","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Oct 31)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Thursday. Happy Halloween. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly down. India and New Zealand did well; China, Indonesia, Japan and South Korea did poorly. Europe is currently mixed. France, Amsterdam and Italy are leading to the upside while Norway, Stockholm and London are leading to the downside. Futures here in the States point towards a down open for the cash market.<!--more--><br \/>\n<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The dollar is up. Oil and copper are down. Gold and silver are down. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Yesterday the Fed announced more of the same. Rates continue to be held down, and $85B in mortgage-back securities and longer-term treasury securities continues. They don&#8217;t have a plan of attack. They are data-dependent and will make judgement calls as new data becomes available. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The market&#8217;s initial reaction was to the downside, but then prices recovered to their pre-Fed level. The market has had a tendency to do the opposite the next day, but since there wasn&#8217;t a forceful move that lasted, there is nothing to reverse today. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> My stand right now is as follows&#8230;the long term trend is up, and I expect it to remain up. The last two months of the year should be good ones for the bulls, especially after hedge fund managers, who are lagging the market, realized their jobs are on the line if they don&#8217;t post better returns by the end of the year. But in the near term I lean toward a little weakness. Some downside to cast down would perfectly set up a year-end rally. In the mean time, I&#8217;m not crazy about entering new positions. I&#8217;ll manage what I have and wait for new and better set ups to form. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Cardinal Health (CAH -0.84%) reported Q1 EPS of 84 cents, weaker than consensus of 85 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Marathon Petroleum (MPC +2.39%) reported Q3 EPS of 59 cents, below consensus of 63 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> ConocoPhillips (COP -1.47%) reported Q3 EPS of $1.47, better than consensus of $1.45.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Cigna (CI +0.46%) reported Q3 EPS of $1.89, well ahead of consensus of $1.62.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Marriott (MAR -0.92%) reported Q3 EPS of 52 cents, stronger than consensus of 45 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Avis Budget (CAR -1.07%) reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.48, weaker than consensus of $1.52.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Jarden (JAH -1.21%) reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.04, better than consensus of $1.00.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Con-way (CNW -1.36%) reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 58 cents, weaker than consensus of 62 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Owens-Illinois (OI -0.23%) reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 79 cents, higher than consensus of 77 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> MetLife (MET -0.41%) reported Q3 EPS of $1.34, below consensus of $1.36.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Hanesbrands (HBI -0.48%) reported Q3 EPS of $1.23, stronger than consensus of $1.13, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2013 EPS view to $3.75-$3.85 from $3.50-$3.65.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Arris (ARRS -0.60%) rose 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 39 cents, better than consensus of 34 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Facebook (FB -0.79%) initially jumped 16% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of 25 cents, stronger than consensus of 19 cents, but then fell back to a gain of 4% after it said that has seen a decrease in daily users among younger teens.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Molina Healthcare (MOH -1.78%) reported Q3 EPS of 16 cents, well below consensus of 31 cents, and then lowered its outlook for fiscal 2013 EPS to $1.15, well below consensus of $1.62.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Starbucks (SBUX +1.52%) fell 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 EPS of 63 cents, better than consensus of 60 cents, but then lowered guidance on fiscal 2014 EPS to $2.55-$2.65, below consensus of $2.67.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Expedia (EXPE -1.42%) surged 19% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.43, stronger than consensus of $1.35.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Kraft Foods (KRFT -0.63%) reported Q3 EPS of 83 cents, well above consensus of 69 cents, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2013 EPS outlook to $3.58 from $3.40.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Earnings and Economic Numbers<\/strong> from seekingalpha.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today&#8217;s economic calendar:<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 7:30 Challenger Job-Cut Report<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Initial Jobless Claims<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:45 Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:45 Chicago PMI<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 3:00 PM USDA Ag. Prices<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 4:30 PM Money Supply<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings before today&#8217;s open: AAP, ABC, ABX, ACOR, ALKS, ALU, ANR, ARRY, AVP, AYR, AZN, BEAM, BGCP, BLC, BUD, BYD, CAH, CI, CLX, COP, COR, COT, CRR, DGI, DISCA,EL, EPD, EPL, FCH, FIG, GBX, GTI, GTLS, HAR, HGG, HSH, IDCC, INCY, IQNT, IRDM, IRM, ITC, ITT, IVZ, KEM, LECO, LIOX, LKQ, MA, MGM,MMP, MOD, MPC, MPLX, MSCI, MYL, NI, NIHD, NILE, NMM, NVO, NYT, O, OCN, OSK, PDCE, PNW, PPL, PRGO, PRLB, PWR, Q, RFP, SCG, SFY,SHOO, SMP, SNAK, SNE, STRA, TDC, TE, TEVA, TWC, VICL, VPHM, VRX, WNR, WWE, XOM<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings after today&#8217;s close: ADNC, AHS, AIG, AIV, AMRS, ANH, AVD, BBG, BODY, CALD, CPSI, CPT, DCT, DRC, ELLI, FLR, FRT, FSLR, GDOT, HME, HTCH, KOG, LRE, MDU, MHK,MRC, MTZ, NATI, NEM, NU, OHI, ONNN, PDM, PSA, RSG, RWT, SEM, SPF, SSNC, SWN, TLAB, TRMB, WRI<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2013\/10\/20\/earnings-oct-21-25\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2013\/10\/20\/economic-numbers-oct-21-25\/\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n  var gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\"); document.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n  var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Thursday. Happy Halloween. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly down. India and New Zealand did well; China, Indonesia, Japan and South Korea did poorly. Europe is currently mixed. France, Amsterdam and Italy are leading to the upside while Norway, Stockholm and London are leading to the downside. Futures here in the States point [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7124"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7124"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7124\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7124"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7124"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7124"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}