{"id":7291,"date":"2014-01-09T08:29:09","date_gmt":"2014-01-09T13:29:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=7291"},"modified":"2014-01-09T08:29:09","modified_gmt":"2014-01-09T13:29:09","slug":"before-the-open-jan-9-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=7291","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Jan 9)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Thursday.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly down. Japan dropped 1.5%; China, Hong Kong, South Korea and Taiwan also lost ground. Europe is currently mostly up. Austria, Italy, Spain and Stockholm are leading the way. Futures here in the States point towards a moderate gap up open for the cash market.<!--more--><br \/>\n<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The dollar is down. Oil is down, copper up. Gold and silver are up. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The first five days of the year are in the books, so we can finally stop talking about that indicator. It&#8217;s not helpful anyways because even if the odds favored 2014 being an up year, it doesn&#8217;t tell us what the path will be. The market could slowly drop 10% and then rally the last two months of the year and satisfy the indicator, but most of the movement could have been to the downside. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Here&#8217;s the 15-min S&amp;P chart. The index has traded in a 15-point range the first week of the year and an 8-point range the last two days. So much for things dying down at the end of 2013 and then volatility picking up in 2014. It&#8217;s been mostly a slow year for the overall market.<\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/i\/spxF010914.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Overall I like the market, but there are some cross-currents to deal with. This is not a &#8220;go all in&#8221; time. Play it safe here. My sense is the market has yet to establish a personality here in the new year. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Aetna (AET +1.02%) was upgraded to &#8216;Outperform&#8217; from &#8216;Neutral&#8217; at Credit Suisse.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Cantor Fitzgerald named Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO +1.54%) its top stock pick for 2014 and raised its price target for the stock to $128 from $112.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Valspar (VAL +0.34%) was upgraded to &#8216;Outperform&#8217; from &#8216;Neutral&#8217; at RW Baird.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Yum! Brands (YUM -0.04%) was downgraded to &#8216;Equal Weight&#8217; from &#8216;Overweight&#8217; at Morgan Stanley.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> McDonald&#8217;s (MCD -1.01%) was upgraded to &#8216;Overweight&#8217; from &#8216;Equal Weight&#8217; at Morgan Stanley.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> NVIDIA (NVDA +1.36%) was downgraded to &#8216;Hold&#8217; from &#8216;Buy&#8217; at Canaccord due to valuation.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Pier 1 Imports (PIR +0.82%) lowered guidance on fiscal year 2014 EPS to $1.07-$1.12 from $1.21-$1.27, well below consensus of $1.23.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Sprint (S +1.11%) was downgraded to &#8216;Hold&#8217; from &#8216;Buy&#8217; at Deutsche Bank due to valuation.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Jefferies upgraded Public Storage (PSA +0.18%) to &#8216;Buy&#8217; from &#8216;Hold&#8217; citing the recent pullback in shares and strong fundamentals.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Macy&#8217;s (M -0.65%) rallied 5% in after-hours trading after reiterating its fiscal-year EPS guidance and announcing cost-savings measures involving cutting 2,500 employees. The company&#8217;s fiscal-2014 EPS guidance also beat estimates thanks to the cost-savings measures.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Global Payments (GPN -0.74%) rallied 5% in after-hours trading after a positive earnings report.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY +0.59%) fell 8% in after-hours trading after missing earnings expectations.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> United Airlines (UAL +6.02%) reported that December traffic rose +4.1%.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Earnings and Economic Numbers<\/strong> from seekingalpha.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today&#8217;s economic calendar:<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Chain Store Sales<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 7:30 Challenger Job-Cut Report<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Initial Jobless Claims<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:45 Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 4:30 PM Money Supply<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings before today&#8217;s open: AYI, FDO, SVU<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings after today&#8217;s close: AA, ANGO, PSMT, SNX<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2014\/01\/04\/earnings-jan-6-10\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2014\/01\/04\/earnings-jan-6-10\/\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n  var gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\"); document.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n  var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Thursday. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly down. Japan dropped 1.5%; China, Hong Kong, South Korea and Taiwan also lost ground. Europe is currently mostly up. Austria, Italy, Spain and Stockholm are leading the way. Futures here in the States point towards a moderate gap up open for the cash market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7291"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7291"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7291\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7291"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7291"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7291"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}