{"id":7354,"date":"2014-01-31T08:32:50","date_gmt":"2014-01-31T13:32:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=7354"},"modified":"2014-01-31T08:32:50","modified_gmt":"2014-01-31T13:32:50","slug":"before-the-open-jan-31-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=7354","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Jan 31)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Friday.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Many of the Asian\/Pacific markets were closed again. Japan closed down 0.6%. Europe is currently mostly down. France, Germany, Switzerland, Italy, Spain and London are down more than 1%. Futures here in the States point towards a big gap down open for the cash market.<!--more--><br \/>\n<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Join our <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leavittbrothers.com\/email-subscribe.cfm\">email list<\/a> and be reminded of blog updates.<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The dollar is up slightly. Oil and copper are down. Gold and silver are up. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Here&#8217;s the daily S&amp;P with the last four days highlighted. Down, up, down, up. Bulls feel like idiots one day and geniuses the next. Same with the bears. Today we&#8217;ll get a big gap down, so the back and forth trend will continue&#8230;at least at the open. <\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/pm\/spxD013014.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Microsoft (MSFT) has named a new CEO.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Big tech is moving in different directions. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Apple (AAPL) got crushed after earnings. Amazon (AMZN) is getting clobbered right now&#8230;it&#8217;s down 32 bucks pre-market. Google (GOOG) on the other hand is up 45 bucks. Chipotle (CMG) is up 58 bucks (I know, it&#8217;s not a tech stock). Companies are either knocking the ball out of the park or missing expectations. Risk is higher this earnings season then recent memory. I&#8217;m glad I&#8217;m laying low and taking a wait-n-see approach. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today is the last day of the week, so let&#8217;s check out the weekly chart. The divergence played out perfectly. The S&amp;P dropped 80+ points and so far has found support at a previous low. The index will have to rally off today&#8217;s open if it&#8217;s to close up on the week. <\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/i\/spxW013114.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today is also the last day of the month, so let&#8217;s check out the monthly. The chart is rock solid. As of today&#8217;s close the indexes will have moved up 12 of 15 months with no noticeable corrections. This is probably the most bearish statement\/observation I can make &#8211; that the move is unsustainable and the market has gone up so much without even a 5% pullback, eventually buyers are going to resist paying these lofty prices. <\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/i\/spxM013114.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> If you don&#8217;t know what to do, stand aside. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Legg Mason (LM +1.71%) reported Q3 EPS of 67 cents, much weaker than consensus of 99 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> AON Plc (AON +1.50%) reported Q4 EPS of $1.28, well below consensus of $1.51.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Weyerhaeuser (WY +0.75%) reported Q4 EPS of 27 cents, below consensus of 28 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Bank of New York Mellon reported a 5.09% passive stake in Tesco (TESO +2.63%) .<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Eastman Chemical (EMN +1.71%) reported Q4 EPS of $1.35, better than consensus of $1.25.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Wolverine Asset reported a 5.1% passive stake in Comtech (CMTL +0.13%) .<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Manitowoc (MTW +1.89%) reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 47 cents, better than consensus of 34 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> CSC (CSC +2.07%) reported Q3 EPS of 94 cents, well ahead of consensus of 84 cents, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2014 EPS to $3.80-$3.90, stronger than consensus of $3.68.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Symetra Financial (SYA +0.77%) reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 42 cents, better than consensus of 39 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> B. Thomas Golisano reported a 10.4% passive stake in Paychex (PAYX +0.62%) .<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> C.R. Bard (BCR +0.54%) reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.42, higher than consensus of $1.39.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> McKesson (MCK +2.28%) reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.45, well below consensus of $1.85, and then lowered guidance on fiscal 2014 adjusted EPS to $8.05-$8.20, weaker than consensus of $8.31.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Broadcom (BRCM +1.81%) reported Q4 EPS of 60 cents, better than consensus of 57 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Wynn Resorts (WYNN +3.94%) reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $2.27, well above consensus of $1.74.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Amazon.com (AMZN +4.90%) slid 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 EPS of 51 cents, well below consensus of 66 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Google (GOOG +2.57%) reported Q4 EPS of $12.01, below consensus of $12.26.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Earnings and Economic Numbers<\/strong> from seekingalpha.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today&#8217;s economic calendar:<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Personal Income and Outlays<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Employment Cost Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:45 Chicago PMI<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:55 Reuters\/UofM Consumer Sentiment<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 3:00 PM USDA Ag. Prices<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings before today&#8217;s open: ABBV, ALV, AON, AVY, BAH, BPO, CNX, CVX, D, IMGN, KCG, KFN, LEA, LM, LYB, MA, MAT, MJN, MOD, NOV, NWL, PCAR, SAIA, SPG, TSN, TYC, WETF, WY<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings after today&#8217;s close: none<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2014\/01\/25\/earnings-jan-27-31\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2014\/01\/25\/economic-numbers-jan-27-31\/\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n    var gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\"); document.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n    var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Friday. Many of the Asian\/Pacific markets were closed again. Japan closed down 0.6%. Europe is currently mostly down. France, Germany, Switzerland, Italy, Spain and London are down more than 1%. Futures here in the States point towards a big gap down open for the cash market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7354"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7354"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7354\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7354"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7354"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7354"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}