{"id":7792,"date":"2014-07-02T07:34:29","date_gmt":"2014-07-02T12:34:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=7792"},"modified":"2014-07-02T07:34:29","modified_gmt":"2014-07-02T12:34:29","slug":"before-the-open-jul-2-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=7792","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Jul 2)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Wednesday.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Asian\/Pacific markets closed up across-the-board. Australia, India and Hong Kong rallied more than 1%. Korea and Singapore also did very well. Europe is currently mostly up. Russia and Greece are up more than 1%. Austria, Belgium, London and Stockholm are also posting decent gains. Futures here in the States point towards a small gap up open for the cash market.<!--more--><br \/>\n<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The dollar is down slightly. Oil is down, copper is up. Gold and silver are flat. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Big breakout day for the market. Several indexes hit all-time highs&#8230;only the Nas and Nas 100, which have rallied 10% the last two months and have been leading, are below their dot com bubble highs. The bears continue picking tops, and they continue being wrong. I don&#8217;t get it. There a lot of money to be made within a trend, that missing an exact turning point isn&#8217;t a big deal&#8230;there&#8217;s always time to jump in and grab a bunch of points in the middle. Oh well. I&#8217;m not going to complain. As long as the bears remain non-believers, the market will continue higher. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Here are the indexes I closely follow&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/pm\/indexD070114.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> There are technical warnings in the form of the AD line and AD volume line not matching the market&#8217;s highs. Also the put\/call ratio has bottomed and moved up. Still the trend is up, and when this is the case, you&#8217;re either very long, partially long or on the sidelines. No sense being short. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Before tomorrow&#8217;s open we get the latest employment numbers. Traders\/investors may initiate or close positions at the open, but then Wall St. will get very quiet very fast. The market is closed Friday. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Don&#8217;t over-analyze. He who thinks too much loses. The trend is up. Period. Unless you&#8217;re running a multi-billion dollar hedge fund, you probably can get flat in less than a minute, so you don&#8217;t need to call tops. More after the open. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Oracle (ORCL +0.59%) was upgraded to &#8216;Overweight&#8217; from &#8216;Neutral&#8217; at Atlantic Equities.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Credit Suisse downgraded Hormel Foods (HRL -0.32%) to &#8216;Neutral&#8217; from &#8216;Outperform&#8217; citing valuation.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Men&#8217;s Wearhouse (MW +0.99%) was upgraded to &#8216;Buy&#8217; from &#8216;Hold&#8217; at Stifel.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Beazer Homes (BZH +1.10%) was downgraded to &#8216;Neutral&#8217; from &#8216;Buy&#8217; at Sterne Agee.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Greenbrier (GBX +0.19%) reported Q3 EPS of $1.03, well above consensus of 74 cents, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2014 EPS ex-items to $2.98-$3.08, above consensus of $2.61.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Barclays downgraded the U.S. Major Pharmaceuticals sector to &#8216;Neutral&#8217; from &#8216;Positive&#8217; citing valuations.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Bristol-Myers (BMY -0.80%) was downgraded to &#8216;Equal Weight&#8217; from &#8216;Overweight&#8217; at Barclays.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Harley-Davidson (HOG +0.69%) fell 1% in pre-market trading after Ramond James lowered its recommendation on the stock to &#8216;Market Perform&#8217; from &#8216;Strong Buy.&#8217;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Bank of America (BAC +1.50%) rose 1% in pre-market trading after Deutsche Bank upgraded its recommendation on the stock to &#8216;Buy&#8217; from &#8216;Hold.&#8217;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Luxor Capital reported a 9.9% stake in RCS Capital (RCAP +4.57%) .<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Pandora (P +0.34%) slipped over 1% in after-hours traqding after Google acquireed music streaming service Songza.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> CBOE Holdings (CBOE -0.47%) reported June trading volume totaled 100.18 million contracts with average daily volume of 4.77 million contracts, up +3% m\/m but down -11% y\/y.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Aisling Capital reported a 5.5% passive stake in Lombard Medical (EVAR -0.97%) .<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Berkshire Hathaway lowered its stake in Graham Holdings (GHC +0.58%) to 1.72% from 27.7%.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> A. Schulman (SHLM +2.14%) reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 74 cents, better than consensus of 66 cents, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2014 adjusted EPS view to $2.31-$2.36, higher than consensus of $2.27.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Paychex (PAYX +1.37%) reported Q4 EPS of 40 cents, right on consensus, although Q4 revenue of $617.2 million was slightly below consensus of $617.35 million.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Earnings and Economic Numbers<\/strong> from seekingalpha.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today&#8217;s economic calendar:<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 7:00 MBA Mortgage Applications<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 7:30 Challenger Job-Cut Report<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:15 ADP Jobs Report<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Gallup US Payroll to Population<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Gallup U.S. Job Creation Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 Factory Orders<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 11:00 Janet Yellen speech<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings before today&#8217;s open: GBX, STZ<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings after today&#8217;s close: SNX<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2014\/06\/22\/earnings-jun-23-27\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2014\/06\/22\/economic-numbers-jun-23-27\/\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n  var gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\"); document.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n  var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Wednesday. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed up across-the-board. Australia, India and Hong Kong rallied more than 1%. Korea and Singapore also did very well. Europe is currently mostly up. Russia and Greece are up more than 1%. Austria, Belgium, London and Stockholm are also posting decent gains. Futures here in the States point [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7792"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7792"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7792\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7792"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7792"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7792"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}