{"id":7824,"date":"2014-07-18T07:39:56","date_gmt":"2014-07-18T12:39:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=7824"},"modified":"2014-07-18T07:39:56","modified_gmt":"2014-07-18T12:39:56","slug":"before-the-open-jul-18-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=7824","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Jul 18)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Friday. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mixed. There were no big winners or losers. Europe is currently mostly down. Greece is down 2.6%; Prague and Russia are down 1.3-1.4%. Switzerland, Norway, Amsterdam, Austria, Spain and Germany are also down noticeably. Futures here in the States point towards an up open for the cash market.<!--more--><br \/>\n<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The dollar is up a small amount. Oil is flat, copper up. Gold and silver are down. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Yesterday was the market&#8217;s biggest down day since the April bottom, and baring a decent rally today, this week and last week will combine for the biggest back-too-back down weeks since January. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The warnings have been there. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The lagging small caps have been a big warning. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The indicators we follow have been lagging for a couple weeks. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> And the quality and quantity of good set to be had have been very low, so even if you wanted to trade, there hasn&#8217;t been much to work with. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> I&#8217;ve been laying low for two weeks &#8211; partly because there hasn&#8217;t been many good set ups to play and partly because of my move back to the States. In fact I stated a couple weeks ago I was more interested in keeping what I had than building on it. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> If a top is in place, fine. There&#8217;s plenty of time to get short. One of the consequences of nailing a 5-year rally is you miss the turn. If you try to pick tops, you miss the bulk of the move on the way up. If you do what I do &#8211; ride a trend for all it&#8217;s worth &#8211; you give a little back when the market turns. Nobody will nail an entire move AND pick the top exactly. Determine your style and stick with it. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> If the market really is going to trend down for a while, there will be plenty of time to get short. More after the open. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Amazon (AMZN -0.97%) announces a Kindle Unlimited subscription service for $9.99 per month.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Johnson Controls (JCI -1.01%) reported Q3 EPS of 84 cents, better than consensus of 83 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Honeywell International (HON -1.27%) reported Q2 EPS of $1.38, higher than consensus of $1.36.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> General Electric (GE -1.52%) reported Q2 EPS of 39 cents, right on consensus.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Bank of New York Mellon (BK -0.29%) reported Q2 EPS of 62 cents, better than consensus of 57 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Celanese (CE -1.25%) rose 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of $1.47, well ahead of consensus of $1.24.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Advanced Micro Devices (AMD -1.93%) slumped over 15% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 EPS of 2 cents, below consensus of 3 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Schlumberger (SLB -1.07%) reported Q2 EPS ex-items $1.37, above consensus of $1.36.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Capital One (COF -2.24%) reported Q2 EPS of $2.04, well above consensus of $1.82.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Google (GOOG -1.53%) rose nealy 2% in pre-market trading after it reported Q2 EPS of $6.08, below consensus of $6.24, but reported Q2 sales excluding revenue passed on to partners of $12.7 billion, higher than consensus of $12.3 billion.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> International Business Machines (IBM +0.07%) reported Q2 adjusted EPS of $4.32, better than consensus of $4.29, and said that it sees fiscal year 2014 EPS at least $18.00, above consensus of $17.87.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Stryker (SYK -0.70%) reported Q2 adjusted EPS of $1.08, right on consensus, but then lowered guidance on fiscal 2014 EPS to $4.75 &#8211; $4.80, on the lower end of consensus of $4.80.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Hub Group (HUBG +1.34%) reported Q2 EPS of 51 cents, higher than consensus of 50 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Seagate (STX -2.97%) reported Q4 EPS of $1.10, right on consensus, although Q4 revenue of $3.30 billion was slightly below consensus of $3.33 billion.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Earnings and Economic Numbers<\/strong> from seekingalpha.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today&#8217;s economic calendar:<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:55 Reuters\/UofM Consumer Sentiment<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 Leading Indicators<\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings before today&#8217;s open: ALV, BK, ERIC, FHN, GE, HBAN, HON, IPG, JCI, KSU, LH, VFC<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings after today&#8217;s close: BMI<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2014\/07\/12\/earnings-jul-14-18\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2014\/07\/12\/economic-numbers-jul-14-18\/\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n  var gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\"); document.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n  var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Friday. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mixed. There were no big winners or losers. Europe is currently mostly down. Greece is down 2.6%; Prague and Russia are down 1.3-1.4%. Switzerland, Norway, Amsterdam, Austria, Spain and Germany are also down noticeably. Futures here in the States point towards an up open for the cash [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7824"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7824"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7824\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7824"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7824"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7824"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}