{"id":7860,"date":"2014-08-05T07:26:29","date_gmt":"2014-08-05T12:26:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=7860"},"modified":"2014-08-05T07:26:29","modified_gmt":"2014-08-05T12:26:29","slug":"before-the-open-aug-5-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=7860","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Aug 5)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Tuesday.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mixed. Taiwan dropped 2% and Japan 1%. India gained 0.7%. Europe is currently mostly up. Greece is down 1.4%, Russian 1.2% and Italy 0.7%. Switzerland, France and Belgium are doing well. Futures here in the States point towards a moderate gap down open for the cash market.<!--more--><br \/>\n<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The dollar is up. Oil is up slightly, copper is down. Gold and silver are down. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> After breaking support last week, we got the beginning of a bounce yesterday. The bounce can peter out and last week&#8217;s low can be taken out&#8230;or continue moving up. If the market moves up, everyone will gauge the energy and force behind the move&#8230;does it come with volume, are dips being bought relentlessly, or does it seem like there&#8217;s a lack of participation (i.e. the market drifts up due to less selling, not lots of buying). In the past, bounces have kept going&#8230;literally. The market would move up day after day after day, and pretty soon the short term downtrend was neutralized. Here&#8217;s a chart going back to last December. When the market started up in February, many assumed the move would fizzle out and new lows would follow. It didn&#8217;t happen. The break down in April was short-lived, and in that case too, the market moved up enough to frustrate the bears before consolidating and hitting a new high. I&#8217;m not predicting the same price action right now. I&#8217;m just pointing out the long term trend is still up, and V bottoms are more common than most would admit. <\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/i\/spx080514.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> If you&#8217;re a swing trader, you trade when the coast is relatively clear&#8230;which is most of the time, but it&#8217;s not how I&#8217;d describe the environment right now. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Emerson Electric (EMR +0.93%) reported Q3 EPS of $1.03, below consensus of $1.06.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Archer-Daniels Midland (ADM +0.82%) reported Q2 EPS of 77 cents, higher than consensus of 76 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> CVS Caremark (CVS +1.15%) reported Q2 EPS of $1.13, better than consensus of $1.10.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Bristow Group (BRS +1.48%) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $1.32, better than consensus of $1.08.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Dresser-Rand (DRC +0.12%) reported Q2 EPS of 38 cents, weaker than consensus of 40 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Avis Budget (CAR +1.98%) rose over 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 EPS ex-items of 68 cents, higher than consensus of 61 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Thor Industries (THO +1.54%) reported preliminary Q4 revenue of $1.04 billion, below consensus of $1.1 billion.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Column Group reports 20.1% stake in Immune Design (IMDZ -1.17%) .<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Cubic (CUB -0.75%) reported Q3 EPS of 45 cents, well below consensus of 75 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> McDermott (MDR +0.97%) reported a Q2 EPS loss of -5 cents, better than consensus of a -17 cent loss.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Tenet ({=THC reported Q2 continuing operations EPS of 17 cents, well above consensus of 1 cent.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Alleghany (Y +0.15%) reported Q2 EPS of $9.06, well ahead of consensus of $8.00.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Texas Roadhouse (TXRH -0.08%) reported Q2 EPS of 33 cents, right on consensus, although Q2 revenue of $395.4 million was slightly better than consensus of $394.29 million.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD +2.75%) reported Q2 EPS of $1.35, better than consensus of $1.28.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Kaman (KAMN +0.20%) reported Q2 EPS of 60 cents, right on consensus, although Q2 revenue of $459.1 million was below consensus of $471.25 million.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> AIG (AIG +1.17%) gained over 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 EPS of $1.25, well above consensus of $1.05, and then announced an additional share repurchase authorization of $2 billion.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Earnings and Economic Numbers<\/strong> from seekingalpha.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today&#8217;s economic calendar:<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 7:45 ICSC Retail Store Sales<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Gallup US ECI<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:55 Redbook Chain Store Sales<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:00 PMI Services Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 Factory Orders<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 ISM Non-Manufacturing Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 11:00 Global Composite PMI<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 11:00 Global Services PMI<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings before today&#8217;s open: ACM, ACT, ADM, AEE, AKRX, ALLT, AME, AMSC, ANSS, ARCC, ARCO, ARQL, BCRX, BLMN, CIE, CLDT, CNK, COH, CRZO, CVC, CVS, DWRE, EMR, END, ENZY, EXH, EXLP, EXPD, FE, FUN, GLDD, GTIV, GTXI, HCLP, HCP, HEP, IART, IFF, IIVI, INFI, IT, KWK, LIN, LPX, MDU, MGM, MMP, MSI, MWW, MZOR, NILE, NNN, [[NTi]], NVDQ, NWN, ODP, OXF, OZM, PMC, RBA, REGN, RHP, RIGL, RTI, SCMP, SCOR, SMG, SNSS, SPAR, STE, TDG, VMC, VSI, VTG, WLK, WNR, ZBRA, ZTS<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings after today&#8217;s close: AMTG, APEI, ARC, ATSG, ATVI, AVNR, AWR, AXLL, BIO, BKH, BMR, CHUY, CLR, CRTO, CSU, DAVE, DIS, DPM, DRYS, ENPH, EOG, FANG, FEYE, FRGI, FSLR, FTR, FUEL, GMED, GRPN, HCI, HGR, HT, ITRI, JAZZ, JCOM, KAR, LBTYA, MCHX, MITT, MODN, MPO, MRCY, NSTG, NYMT, OAS, OKE, OKS, ORA, ORIG, PBPB, PEGA, PNNT, PRAA, PZZA, QUAD, REXX, RLD, RST, RSYS, SGMS, SGY, SKT, SMCI, TDW, TMHC, TPC, TRMB, TTWO, UNTD, WBMD, WES, WGP, WMGI, WTR, XEC, Z, ZAGG, ZGNX<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2014\/08\/02\/earnings-aug-4-8\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2014\/08\/02\/economic-numbers-aug-4-8\/\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n  var gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\"); document.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n  var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Tuesday. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mixed. Taiwan dropped 2% and Japan 1%. India gained 0.7%. Europe is currently mostly up. Greece is down 1.4%, Russian 1.2% and Italy 0.7%. Switzerland, France and Belgium are doing well. Futures here in the States point towards a moderate gap down open for the cash market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7860"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7860"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7860\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7860"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7860"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7860"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}