{"id":7977,"date":"2014-09-23T07:42:11","date_gmt":"2014-09-23T12:42:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=7977"},"modified":"2014-09-23T07:42:11","modified_gmt":"2014-09-23T12:42:11","slug":"before-the-open-sep-23-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=7977","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Sep 23)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Tuesday.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mixed. India dropped 1.6%, followed by Indonesia (down 0.6%) and Korea, Taiwan and Hong Kong (down 0.5%). China and Australia each moved up about 0.9%. Europe is currently suffering big across-the-board losses. Austria is down 2.6%, followed by France (down 1.9%), Greece (down 1.6%), London and Italy (down 1.5%), Spain (down 1.4%), Germany (down 1.3%), Prague (down 1.2%) and Norway (down 1%). Russia is up 0.4%.<!--more--><br \/>\n<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The dollar is down. Oil and copper are up. Gold and silver are up. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The market got hit hard yesterday &#8211; one of its biggest down days since bottoming in early August. Here are the daily index charts. The Dow and S&amp;P 500 remain in good shape &#8211; at least from a longer term swing trading standpoint. The Nas has neutralized and is now trading in a rectangle pattern that has bullish implications because it&#8217;s forming within an uptrend, but there&#8217;s no telling when will resolve. The small caps and mid caps look terrible. A slow drift down has indeed hit an air-pocket, and in both cases, I don&#8217;t think anyone could argue support is close.<\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/pm\/indexD092214.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> I could certainly argue a relief bounce will play out soon, but I don&#8217;t think it will mark a bottom. More selling is needed to washout the longs. Instead of trying to reverse now, ideally the AD line would plunge, new lows would surge, the bullish percent charts would fall hard, etc. If you&#8217;re bullish, you root for more weakness because it&#8217;d be easier to rally off a legit correction than from the current level. Plus a bigger move down gives you an opportunity to buy at lower prices. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Don&#8217;t fight a correction. Since April 2013 there have been 6 pullbacks that lasted a couple weeks and covered 75-100 points. <\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/i\/spx092314.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> CarMax (KMX -1.42%) reported Q2 EPS of 70 cents, better than consensus of 67 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Dresser-Rand (DRC +2.58%) was downgraded to &#8216;Hold&#8217; from &#8216;Buy&#8217; at KeyBanc.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Clorox (CLX +7.35%) was downgraded to &#8216;Sell&#8217; from &#8216;Neutral&#8217; at B. Riley.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY -0.25%) was downgraded to &#8216;Market Perform&#8217; from &#8216;Outperform&#8217; at William Blair.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Fluor (FLR -2.46%) was downgraded to &#8216;Market Perform&#8217; from &#8216;Outperform&#8217; at Wells Fargo.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Cree (CREE -1.92%) was upgraded to &#8216;Equal Weight&#8217; from &#8216;Underweight&#8217; at Stephens.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Siemens (SIEGY -0.85%) was downgraded to &#8216;Equal Weight&#8217; from &#8216;Overweight&#8217; at Barclays.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Dick&#8217;s Sporting Goods (DKS -1.61%) was downgraded to &#8216;Market Perform&#8217; from &#8216;Outperform&#8217; at William Blair.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Herbalife (HLF -10.31%) rose nearly 3% in after-hours trading after sources close to the matter said that billionaire activist investor Carl Icahn has not sold out of his stake in the company<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> AEGON (AEG unch) was upgraded to &#8216;Buy&#8217; from &#8216;Neutral&#8217; at Goldman Sachs.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Ascena Retail (ASNA -2.36%) slumped over 10% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 13 cents, well below consensus of 18 cents, and then lowered guidance on fiscal 2015 adjusted EPS to 90 cents-$1.00, weaker than consensus of $1.25.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Earnings and Economic Numbers<\/strong> from seekingalpha.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today&#8217;s economic calendar:<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 7:45 ICSC Retail Store Sales<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:55 Redbook Chain Store Sales<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:00 FHFA House Price Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:45 PMI Manufacturing Index Flash<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 Richmond Fed Mfg.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 1:00 PM Results of $29B, 2-Year Note Auction<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings before today&#8217;s open: KMX, CCL<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings after today&#8217;s close: AIR, BBBY, CPRT, SCS<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2014\/09\/07\/earnings-sep-8-12\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2014\/09\/07\/economic-numbers-sep-8-12\/\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n   var gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\"); document.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n   var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Tuesday. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mixed. India dropped 1.6%, followed by Indonesia (down 0.6%) and Korea, Taiwan and Hong Kong (down 0.5%). China and Australia each moved up about 0.9%. Europe is currently suffering big across-the-board losses. Austria is down 2.6%, followed by France (down 1.9%), Greece (down 1.6%), London and Italy [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7977"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7977"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7977\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7977"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7977"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7977"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}