{"id":7994,"date":"2014-10-01T07:38:56","date_gmt":"2014-10-01T12:38:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=7994"},"modified":"2014-10-01T07:38:56","modified_gmt":"2014-10-01T12:38:56","slug":"before-the-open-oct-1-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=7994","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Oct 1)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Wednesday.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mixed. South Korea dropped 1.4%, and Hong Kong dropped 1.3%. Japan and Singapore also did poorly. Australia, New Zealand and Taiwan did well to the upside. Europe is currently mostly down. Greece is up 1.1%, but Stockholm is down 0.95%, followed by Norway (down 0.67%), France and London (down 0.62%) and Amsterdam (down 0.52%). Futures here in the States point towards a down open for the cash market.<!--more--><br \/>\n<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The dollar is up. Oil and copper are up. Gold and silver are flat. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> We entered this week with a lot of ifs &#8211; if X and Y and Z, then the market could rally &#8211; but nothing of the ifs have happened. The AD and AD volume lines continue to move down, the bullish percent charts continue down, volatility remains high, the PC ratio is moving up, new highs are nowhere to be found while new lows print at a healthy rate. The bears are in control. Period. And since we&#8217;ve already reached washout levels on several indicators and have not bounced, we have to entertain the possibility a change in character is underway. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> My first downside target is SPX 1939 &#8211; that&#8217;s the 125-day MA, a significant level the last year. <\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/i\/spx100114.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> After that I&#8217;m eyeing 1900 even. Besides it being close to the August low, it&#8217;s a big, fat, whole number. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> On the way up I tell trader to not over-analyze&#8230;just buy breakouts and pullbacks and stop being in a state of denial. I&#8217;ll say the same thing on the way down. Go with the trend and stop making &#8220;yeah but&#8221; excuses. More after the open. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Dean Foods (DF +0.61%) was downgraded to &#8216;Hold&#8217; from &#8216;Buy&#8217; at BB&amp;T.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Panera Bread (PNRA +2.51%) was upgraded to &#8216;Buy&#8217; from &#8216;Hold&#8217; at Wunderlich.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Tyson Foods (TSN +1.34%) was upgraded to &#8216;Neutral&#8217; from &#8216;Underperform&#8217; at Credit Suisse.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Janus Capital (JNS -1.09%) was upgraded to &#8216;Buy&#8217; from &#8216;Hold&#8217; at Jefferies.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> eBay (EBAY +7.54%) was downgraded to &#8216;Hold&#8217; from &#8216;Buy&#8217; at Jefferies.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Allergan (AGN -0.84%) was upgraded to &#8216;Buy&#8217; from &#8216;Hold&#8217; at Stifel.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Freeport McMoRan (FCX +0.77%) was initiated with a &#8216;Buy&#8217; at Brean Capital with a price target of $39.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Lockheed Martin (LMT +0.78%) was awarded a $246.61 million modification to a previously awarded government contract to develop, test, and certify two Drag Chute Systems for the Low Rate Initial Production Lot VII F-35 Lightning II Joint Strike Fighter aircraft.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Tekmira (TKMR +2.22%) surged 20%, Hemispherx BioPharma (HEB unch) climbed 15%, NewLink Genetics (NLNK -7.11%) jumped 14%, and BioCryst (BCRX -6.77%) rose over 10% in after-hours trading after the CDC confirmed that an individual traveling from Liberia has been diagnosed with the Ebola virus in the U.S.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> NRG Energy (NRG +0.23%) was upgraded to &#8216;Strong Buy&#8217; from &#8216;Buy&#8217; at ISI Group.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Dynegy (DYN -1.54%) and Exelon (EXC -0.06%) were both upgraded to &#8216;Buy&#8217; from &#8216;Hold&#8217; at ISI Group.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Earnings and Economic Numbers<\/strong> from seekingalpha.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today&#8217;s economic calendar:<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Auto sales<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 7:00 MBA Mortgage Applications<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:15 ADP Jobs Report<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Gallup U.S. Job Creation Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:45 PMI Manufacturing Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 ISM Manufacturing Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 Construction Spending<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 11:00 Global Manufacturing PMI<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings before today&#8217;s open: AYI, AZZ<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings after today&#8217;s close: none<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2014\/09\/27\/earnings-sep-29-oct-3\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2014\/09\/27\/economic-numbers-sep-29-oct-3\/\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n   var gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\"); document.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n   var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Wednesday. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mixed. South Korea dropped 1.4%, and Hong Kong dropped 1.3%. Japan and Singapore also did poorly. Australia, New Zealand and Taiwan did well to the upside. Europe is currently mostly down. Greece is up 1.1%, but Stockholm is down 0.95%, followed by Norway (down 0.67%), France and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7994"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7994"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7994\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7994"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7994"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7994"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}