{"id":8024,"date":"2014-10-15T07:38:34","date_gmt":"2014-10-15T12:38:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=8024"},"modified":"2014-10-15T07:38:34","modified_gmt":"2014-10-15T12:38:34","slug":"before-the-open-oct-15-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=8024","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Oct 15)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Wednesday.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Asian\/Pacific markets closed with a lean to the upside. Indonesia, Australia, Japan and China each rallied 0.6 &#8211; 0.9%. Taiwan dropped 1.3%. Europe is currently getting hit hard. Greece is down 5.5%, and Italy is down 2.34%. Spain, London, Germany, France, Austria, Belgium, Amsterdam, Norway, Stockholm and Prague are down more than 1%. Futures here in the States point towards a big gap down open for the cash market.<!--more--><br \/>\n<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The dollar is down. Oil and copper are down. Gold and silver are down. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The market did well yesterday during the morning session, but then sold off during and after lunch. The small caps posted decent gains, but they closed well off their highs. The other indexes posted small gains and also closed well off their highs. The bulls can&#8217;t catch a bid that lasts very long. As the old saying goes: Bull markets won&#8217;t let you in, bear markets won&#8217;t let you out. Anyone who has been waiting to exit longs on a decent multi-day bounce is still waiting. That&#8217;s how the market works. It moves to make sure the least number of people participate on the way up and the most number of people get stuck in positions on the way down.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The trend is down, it&#8217;s been down, so of course my bias remains to the downside. But unfortunately the risk\/reward for entering new shorts isn&#8217;t very good right now. So many stocks have taken big hits the last month &#8211; many in virtual free falls &#8211; that chasing lower should only be done by skilled short term traders &#8211; those who can manage trades during the inevitable bounces that happen along the way. We&#8217;ve had many good trades the last month, but I think toning down our aggressiveness is a good idea. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> This is the Wild Wild West. Moves that used to take all day are taking place in an hour. Make adjustments or get stampeded. More after the open. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> <strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Intel (INTC +2.13%) was downgraded to &#8216;Underweight&#8217; from &#8216;Equal Weight&#8217; at Morgan Stanley.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> JPMorgan Chase (JPM -0.29%) was upgraded to &#8216;Buy&#8217; from &#8216;Hold&#8217; at Argus with a price target of $65.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> CBS (CBS +2.09%) was upgraded to &#8216;Buy&#8217; from &#8216;Neutral&#8217; at Citigroup.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Sanofi (SNY -0.10%) was upgraded to &#8216;Outperform&#8217; from &#8216;Neutral&#8217; at Credit Suisse.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> BlackRock (BLK +0.93%) reported Q3 EPS of $5.21, well ahead of consensus of $4.66.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> PNC Financial Services Group (PNC +0.67%) reported Q3 EPS of $1.72, higher than consensus of $1.70.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Bank of America (BAC +0.73%) reported Q3 EPS of 40 cents, higher than consensus of 32 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> St. Jude Medical (STJ -1.17%) reported Q3 EPS of 97 cents, better than consensus of 96 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Shannon River reported a 5.2% passive stake in WebMD (WBMD +2.35%) .<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Heineken (HEINY -0.95%) was upgraded to &#8216;Buy&#8217; from &#8216;Neutral&#8217; at Goldman Sachs.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Point72 Asset Management reported a 5.2% passive stake in Aegerion (AEGR -1.10%) .<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> CSX (CSX +2.87%) rose over 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of 51 cents, better than consensus of 48 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Intel (INTC +2.13%) climbed nearly 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of 66 cents, higher than consensus of 65 cents, and said it sees Q4 revenue of $14.7 billion, plus or minus $500 million, which is better than consensus of $14.49 billion.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Earnings and Economic Numbers<\/strong> from seekingalpha.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today&#8217;s economic calendar:<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 7:00 MBA Mortgage Applications<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Producer Price Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Retail Sales<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Empire State Mfg Survey<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 Atlanta Fed&#8217;s Business Inflation Expectations<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 Business Inventories<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 2:00 PM Fed&#8217;s Beige Book<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings before today&#8217;s open: ASML, BAC, BLK, CBSH, IGTE, KEY, MTG, PNC, STJ<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings after today&#8217;s close: AF, AXP, BGG, BMI, EBAY, EPB, KMI, KMP, LVS, NFLX, RLI, UMPQ, URI<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2014\/09\/27\/earnings-sep-29-oct-3\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2014\/09\/27\/economic-numbers-sep-29-oct-3\/\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n   var gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\"); document.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n   var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Wednesday. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed with a lean to the upside. Indonesia, Australia, Japan and China each rallied 0.6 &#8211; 0.9%. Taiwan dropped 1.3%. Europe is currently getting hit hard. Greece is down 5.5%, and Italy is down 2.34%. Spain, London, Germany, France, Austria, Belgium, Amsterdam, Norway, Stockholm and Prague are down [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8024"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8024"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8024\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8024"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8024"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8024"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}