{"id":8062,"date":"2014-11-03T08:39:37","date_gmt":"2014-11-03T13:39:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=8062"},"modified":"2014-11-03T08:39:37","modified_gmt":"2014-11-03T13:39:37","slug":"before-the-open-nov-3-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=8062","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Nov 3)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Monday. Happy November. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Asian\/Pacific markets closed with a lean to the downside. China, Singapore and New Zealand moved up; Australia,  South Korea and Hong Kong moved down. Europe currently leans to the downside. Italy is down 1.1%, followed by Belgium (down 0.95%), Prague (down 0.78%), Switzerland (down 0.65%), Amsterdam (down 0.64%) and France, Germany and London (down 0.6% each). Greece is up 1.8%, and Amsterdam is up 0.5%. Futures here in the States point towards a down open for the cash market.<!--more--><br \/>\n<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The dollar is up. Oil and copper are up. Gold and silver are down. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> I don&#8217;t have anything to add to the report published over the weekend. The trend is up&#8230;most key groups are doing well&#8230;the indicators support the strength&#8230;the market is in good shape. Absent a major external event, the strength should continue, even if things get a little more choppy. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> In the near term, the market is due for a rest or pullback. When the indicators move to extreme levels, two things tend to happen. 1) The market rests and 2) the trend continues and new highs are made. Here&#8217;s an example. The chart below is the percentage of SPX stocks above their 20-day EMA (smoothed with a 3-day MA). Each time the indicator moved to the mid-80&#8217;s, a pullback followed and the market&#8217;s vertical move slowed, but a market top wasn&#8217;t put in place for a couple weeks and new highs were eventually hit. High prints from such indicators are a sign of strength, which tends to continue, not a sign of a blow-off top. <\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/pm\/gt20spx110214.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> <strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Loews (L +1.16%) reported Q3 EPS of 56 cents, well below consensus of 68 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Home Depot (HD unch) was downgraded to &#8216;Market Perform&#8217; from &#8216;Outperform&#8217; at Raymond James.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Newmont Mining (NEM -7.72%) was downgraded to &#8216;Hold&#8217; from &#8216;Buy&#8217; at BB&amp;T.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Barrick Gold (ABX -3.42%) was downgraded to &#8216;Hold&#8217; from &#8216;Buy&#8217; at Deutsche Bank.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> TD Ameritrade (AMTD +1.90%) and BlackRock (BLK +2.36%) were both upgraded to &#8216;Buy&#8217; from &#8216;Neutral&#8217; at Citigroup.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Facebook (FB +1.19%) was initiated with an &#8216;Overweight&#8217; at Morgan Stanley with a price target of $90.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> LabCorp (LH +1.77%) will acquire Covance (CVD +0.72%) for approximately $5.6 billion.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Royal Gold (RGLD -4.18%) was upgraded to &#8216;Buy&#8217; from &#8216;Neutral&#8217; at Goldman Sachs.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> American Tower (AMT -1.42%) was downgraded to &#8216;Neutral&#8217; from &#8216;Buy&#8217; at Goldman.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Sohu.com (SOHU +6.09%) reported a Q3 EPS loss of -61 cents, a much smaller loss than consensus of -$1.14.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Crown Castle (CCI -6.15%) was upgraded to &#8216;Buy&#8217; from &#8216;Neutral&#8217; at Goldman Sachs.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> BAE Systems (BAESY +1.52%) was awarded $141.8 million government contract modification to provide the U.S. Army with 18 Self-Propelled Howitzers and 18 Carrier Ammunition Tracked vehicles.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Abingworth reported a 13.5% stake in Proteon Therapeutics (PRTO unch) and RA Capital reported an 8.3% passive stale in Proteon Therapeutics.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Earnings and Economic Numbers<\/strong> from seekingalpha.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today&#8217;s economic calendar:<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Auto sales<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Gallup US Consumer Spending Measure<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:58 PMI Manufacturing Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 ISM Manufacturing Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 Construction Spending<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 11:00 Global Manufacturing PMI<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings before today&#8217;s open: ACW, ALE, AMG, AMH, ANIP, ARCB, ARE, ARNA, BWP, CHD, CNA, CYOU, EEP, GVA, HAE, HNT, INN, ITG, KRG, L, MCY, MNKD, NSP, S, SNH, SOHU, SYY, USAK<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings after today&#8217;s close: ACXM, AEIS, AGU, AIG, AMTG, ANV, APL, BDE, BKH, CHGG, CKP, CRK, CUTR, CVD, CXW, CYH, DXPE, EGAN, ELNK, ENH, EOX, EPAM, EQC, FN, FTR, GALE, GRT, GTY, HLF, IART, ININ, KAMN, KBR, LCI, MCEP, MDU, MR, MRO, NBIX, NLS, NOR, NTRI, OGS, OTTR, PKT, PL, PLOW, PQ, QLYS, RBC, REG, RKT, RKUS, RLD, RTEC, SALE, SBRA, SGY, SKH, SNHY, SRC, SSW, SUP, TDW, THC, TXRH, VNO, VNR, WTR, Y<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2014\/11\/01\/earnings-nov-3-7\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2014\/11\/01\/economic-numbers-nov-3-7\/\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n   var gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\"); document.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n   var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Monday. Happy November. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed with a lean to the downside. China, Singapore and New Zealand moved up; Australia, South Korea and Hong Kong moved down. Europe currently leans to the downside. Italy is down 1.1%, followed by Belgium (down 0.95%), Prague (down 0.78%), Switzerland (down 0.65%), Amsterdam (down 0.64%) [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8062"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8062"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8062\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8062"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8062"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8062"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}