{"id":8067,"date":"2014-11-05T08:39:56","date_gmt":"2014-11-05T13:39:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=8067"},"modified":"2014-11-05T08:39:56","modified_gmt":"2014-11-05T13:39:56","slug":"before-the-open-nov-5-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=8067","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Nov 5)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Wednesday.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly down. Hong Kong, China, Malaysia and New Zealand led to the downside; Japan did well to the upside. Europe is currently mostly up. Italy is p 2%, and Spain, Belgium, Amsterdam, Norway, Switzerland, Greece, France, Germany and London are up more than 1%. Prague is down 0.8%. Futures here in the States point towards a relatively big gap up open for the cash market.<!--more--><br \/>\n<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The dollar is up. Oil is up, copper down. Gold is down 2.4%, and silver is down 5%.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> On Monday the market moved up and the closed off its high. On Tuesday it moved down and then closed off its low. It&#8217;s all part of the resting process. The indexes came a long way in a short period of time and need to take some time off before attempting to move higher. Today the S&amp;P will gap to within a couple points of its high. We&#8217;ll see if buyers, scared to miss a leg up, jump into new positions. My bias, of course, is still to the long side, and I&#8217;m long the market (been long for three weeks), but I&#8217;m not all in. I&#8217;m hoping for better entries. I&#8217;m hoping we get a dip. If it doesn&#8217;t happen, oh well. That&#8217;s life as a trader. It&#8217;s an imperfect art at best. Nailing the long and intermediate moves isn&#8217;t extremely difficult &#8211; having the appropriate size on when those moves happen is the challenge. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> A couple different oil companies (see below) have beat earnings. These guys aren&#8217;t dummies. Despite lower crude prices, they&#8217;ve hedged their production at much higher levels. I don&#8217;t know how far out they&#8217;ve gone, but they certainly planned for at least a temporary dip. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> My stance stays the same. Long and intermediate term I like the market and believe it will go higher and the indexes will hit new highs. Shorter term it&#8217;s over-extended and in need of a rest. The S&amp;P rallied 200 points is less than three weeks. That&#8217;s completely unsustainable, and the risk\/reward for new entries is not great. More after the open. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> <strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Time Warner (TWX -4.81%) reported Q3 EPS of $1.22, higher than consensus of 94 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Covidien PLC (COV -0.42%) reported Q4 EPS of $1.15, better than consensus of $1.02.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> EOG Resources (EOG -3.26%) rose over 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.31, higher than consensus of $1.30.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Papa John&#8217;s (PZZA +0.97%) reported Q3 EPS of 39 cents, above consensus of 37 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Levin Capital Strategies reported a 5.0% passive stake in Great Western (GWB -0.86%) .<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Cimarex Energy (XEC -3.81%) reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.53, better than consensus of $1.51.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> KAR Auction (KAR -0.79%) reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 40 cents, higher than consensus of 31 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Team Health (TMH +0.23%) reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 60 cents, better than consensus of 59 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Activision Blizzard (ATVI -1.72%) climbed over 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of 23 cents, well above consensus of 13 cents, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2014 EPS to $1.35 from $1.29, higher than consensus of $1.33.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Intel (INTC +0.67%) fell over 1% in after-hours trading after it was downgraded to &#8216;Underperform&#8217; from &#8216;Market Perform&#8217; at Bernstein.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Pioneer Natural (PXD -3.84%) reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.35, higher than consensus of $1.26.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 21st Century Fox (FOXA -2.97%) reported Q1 EPS of 48 cents, well above consensus of 36 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Itron (ITRI -2.15%) reported Q3 EPS of 39 cents, better than consensus of 36 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Earnings and Economic Numbers<\/strong> from seekingalpha.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today&#8217;s economic calendar:<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 7:00 MBA Mortgage Applications<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:15 ADP Jobs Report<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Gallup U.S. Job Creation Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Treasury Refunding Quarterly Announcement<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:45 PMI Services Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 ISM Non-Manufacturing Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings before today&#8217;s open: ACT, ANSS, ARIA, ATHM, AVA, AWR, AXAS, BBEP, BPI, BSFT, CBB, CCC, CEQP, CHK, CLH, CNP, COV, CSTE, CTSH, DAVE, DNR, DUK, EE, ENB, ENDP, FSS, GLDD, GTN, HFC, HL, HRC, INXN, KELYA, LAMR, LPX, LVLT, MDLZ, MEMP, MGA, MNTA, MVIS, NICE, NRG, NUS, OGE, PWE, PWR, RDC, RLGY, ROC, RRD, RTI, SBGI, SE, SEP, SMG, SSYS, STWD, SWC, THI, TMHC, TRGT, TW, TWX, VG, VOYA, WCG, WIX, YORW<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings after today&#8217;s close: ABTL, ACAS, ACLS, ALNY, ALSK, ANDE, AR, AREX, ASH, ATO, ATSG, AVG, AWK, BALT, BCOR, BIOS, BKD, BREW, BWC, CBS, CDE, CF, CLR, CODI, CPE, CSOD, CTL, CVG, CXO, DATA, DEPO, DK, DPM, DRYS, DVR, DYN, ECOL, ECYT, EFC, ENS, ENSG, ETE, ETP, EXAR, EXXI, FMI, FNV, G, GNW, GPOR, GSM, HOLX, HTCH, IL, INWK, IO, JCOM, KGC, KW, LBTYA, LHCG, LPSN, MBI, MCHX, MCP, MDR, MDWD, MED, MHLD, MIDD, MRIN, MTDR, MTRX, MUSA, MWE, NDLS, NLY, NVAX, NWSA, OILT, ORA, ORIG, OSUR, PAA, PLNR, PMT, PODD, POWR, PPO, PRGN, PRU, PTC, QCOM, QEP, QUAD, RGP, RNDY, RUTH, SB, SBY, SCTY, SD, SKUL, SLF, SSNI, SSRI, STMP, SUSP, SWIR, SWM, SXL, SYMC, SZYM, TCAP, TEAR, TEG, TERP, THOR, TNGO, TPC, TRAK, TROX, TRUE, TS, TSLA, TSRO, TTEC, TXTR, UHAL, VVUS, WBMD, WFM, WMC, WMGI, WR, WTI, WWWW, XPO, Z<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2014\/11\/01\/earnings-nov-3-7\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2014\/11\/01\/economic-numbers-nov-3-7\/\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n   var gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\"); document.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n   var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Wednesday. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly down. Hong Kong, China, Malaysia and New Zealand led to the downside; Japan did well to the upside. Europe is currently mostly up. Italy is p 2%, and Spain, Belgium, Amsterdam, Norway, Switzerland, Greece, France, Germany and London are up more than 1%. Prague is down [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8067"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8067"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8067\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8067"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8067"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8067"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}