{"id":8150,"date":"2014-12-09T08:51:44","date_gmt":"2014-12-09T13:51:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=8150"},"modified":"2014-12-09T08:51:44","modified_gmt":"2014-12-09T13:51:44","slug":"before-the-open-dec-9-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=8150","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Dec 9)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Tuesday.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly down. China dropped an incredible 5.4%. Hong Kong, Australia and India were also very weak. Europe is currently mostly down. Greece is down 10.7% (not a typo). Spain is down more than 2%; Italy, Austria, Amsterdam, Norway, Prague, Germany, France and London are down more than 1%. Futures here in the States point towards a big gap down open for the cash market.<!--more--><br \/>\n<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The dollar is down. Oil is up, copper is down. Gold and silver are down. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> When I argued over the weekend a pullback was right around the corner, I was open to one taking place right away but wasn&#8217;t giving the market an ultimatum. The market typically isn&#8217;t that sensitive. It wasn&#8217;t hard to see coming. I&#8217;ll do a video covering the indicators I was looking at. The S&amp;P closed about 20 off its high yesterday, and futures are down another 20 this morning. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Lots of big overseas news today&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> China tightened collateral rules for short-term loans. Bonds rated below AAA cannot be used, so there was a big sell-off in riskier debt that spread to higher quality notes and stocks. Hence the 5.4% sell-off, but keep in mind the Chinese market is up about 50% (per the $SSEC) since late June. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> German imports dropped 3.1%, and exports fell 0.5%.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Greece has moved forward a presidential vote by two months. I don&#8217;t pretend to fully understand everything going on over there, but there&#8217;s still a big fight over austerity measures, and this vote plays a huge roll in how they deal with their economic struggles. Heading into today, the Greek market was flat over the last 3-1\/2 years. That&#8217;s not terrible considering the country was basically insolvent. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> In the US&#8230;a divergence between the large and small caps plus negative divergences between the S&amp;P and numerous breadth indicators told us to be very careful with longs because either the indicators needed to improve quickly or the market would head down. We&#8217;re getting a move down. Isn&#8217;t it coincidental when news hits right when the technicals are calling for turn? The media will say the news caused the selling pressure. I disagree. It was in the cards anyways, and the news just gives everyone a place to blame. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> <strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Walgreen (WAG -1.27%) was downgraded to &#8216;Neutral&#8217; from &#8216;Buy&#8217; at Mizuho.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> SAIC (SAIC -1.07%) reported Q3 EPS of 77 cents, higher than consensus of 74 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Burlington Stores (BURL -1.77%) raised guidance on fiscal 2014 adjusted EPS view to $1.65-$1.67, above consensus of $1.61.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> HD Supply (HDS -1.39%) reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 55 cents, better than consensus of 53 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Schlumberger (SLB -3.38%) and Oceaneeing (OII -5.10%) were both downgraded to &#8216;Hold&#8217; from &#8216;Buy&#8217; at Jefferies.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> AutoZone (AZO -1.17%) reported Q1 EPS of $7.27, better than consensus of $7.16.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> T-Mobile (TMUS +0.04%) fell over 3% in pre-market trading after the company said it will sell as much as 17.4 million new convertible shares.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Steadfast Capital reported a 6.6% passive stake in Wix.com (WIX -1.38%).<\/span><br \/>\nABM Industries (ABM -1.02%) reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 52 cents, less than consensus of 58 cents, and then lowered guidance on fiscal 2015 adjusted EPS $1.65-$1.75, below consensus of $1.80.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> IDT Corp. (IDT unch) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 46 cents, better than consensus of 42 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Pinetree Capital reported a 13.0% passive stake in Sphere 3D (ANY -5.16%).<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Pep Boys (PBY -3.31%) reported a Q3 EPS loss of -3 cents with items, well below consensus of a 12 cent gain.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> TRT Holdings reported a 9.98% stake in Northern Oil and Gas (NOG -11.78%).<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Earnings and Economic Numbers<\/strong> from seekingalpha.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today&#8217;s economic calendar:<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 7:30 NFIB Small Business Optimism Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 7:45 ICSC Retail Store Sales<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:55 Redbook Chain Store Sales<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 Wholesale Trade<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 1:00 PM Results of $30B, 3-Year Note Auction<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings before today&#8217;s open: AZO, BURL, CONN, HDS, JW.A, PTRY, SAIC, UTIW<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings after today&#8217;s close: KFY, KKD, NCS<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2014\/12\/06\/earnings-dec-8-12\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2014\/12\/06\/economic-numbers-dec-8-12\/\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n   var gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\"); document.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n   var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Tuesday. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly down. China dropped an incredible 5.4%. Hong Kong, Australia and India were also very weak. Europe is currently mostly down. Greece is down 10.7% (not a typo). Spain is down more than 2%; Italy, Austria, Amsterdam, Norway, Prague, Germany, France and London are down more than [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8150"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8150"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8150\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8150"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8150"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8150"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}