{"id":8227,"date":"2015-01-09T08:46:26","date_gmt":"2015-01-09T13:46:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=8227"},"modified":"2015-01-09T08:46:26","modified_gmt":"2015-01-09T13:46:26","slug":"before-the-open-jan-9-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=8227","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Jan 9)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Friday. Happy Employment Numbers Day. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly up. Australia, India and South Korea did well; Taiwan, China and Singapore posted small losses. Europe currently leans to the downside. Spain and Russia are down more than 2%, Italy more than 1%, Amsterdam, Austria, London, France and Germany are down noteably. Greece is up 2.6%. Before the employoment numbers were released, futures here in the States point towards a down open for the cash market.<!--more--><br \/>\n<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The dollar is down. Oil and copper are down. Gold is up, silver is down. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The S&amp;P 500 dropped about 100 points off its high in six days, and then it only took two days to recapture 70 of those lost points. The sky is falling one day with talking heads predicting gloom and doom for 2015, and two days later they&#8217;re looking for new highs. Gotta love Wall St. Gotta love how manic depressant it is. Gotta love how forgetful it is. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> And what&#8217;s taken place the last two days isn&#8217;t out of the ordinary. Bottoms are typically of the V variety, and after the first or second up day is put in place, it&#8217;s not uncommon for there to be a relatively big gap up. It happened in December. It happened in October. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Here are the employment numbers\u2026<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> unemployment rate: 5.6% (was 5.8% last month)<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> nonfarm payrolls: +252K (was +321 last month)<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> private payrolls:<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> average workweek: unchanged at 34.6 hours<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> hourly wages: down 5 cents to $24.57<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> labor participation rate:<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> October job gain raised from 243K to 261K.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> NOvember job gain raised from 321K to 353K.<\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The market&#8217;s reaction was positive. S&amp;P futures jumped about 10 points on the release and are now up a couple points. Odd. The decreased unemployment rate was due to people leaving the workforce, and the drop in hourly wages is worrisome. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Up, down, up, down &#8211; the market has been all over the place the last month. Have an opinion? Wait, you&#8217;ll be right. Then wait a little longer, and you&#8217;ll be wrong. No move lasts long. Once a mini trend establishes itself, it reverses. Day traders can do their thing, but swing traders who seek to grab the meat of a trending move haven&#8217;t had much to do lately. Oh well. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Set-ups have improved the last couple days, so if the positive bias remains, we&#8217;ll get some nice trades off today and next week. More after the open. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> <strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Eli Lilly (LLY +2.37%) was downgraded to &#8216;Neutral&#8217; from &#8216;Buy&#8217; at BofA\/Merrill Lynch.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Starwood (HOT +1.33%) was downgraded to &#8216;Neutral&#8217; from &#8216;Overweight&#8217; at JPMorgan Chase.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Akamai (AKAM +2.34%) was downgraded to &#8216;Neutral&#8217; from &#8216;Buy&#8217; at B. Riley.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Stanley Black &amp; Decker (SWK +1.90%) was downgraded to &#8216;Neutral&#8217; from Buy at Longbow.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Keurig Green Mountain (GMCR +2.61%) was initiated with a &#8216;Buy&#8217; at UBS with a price target of $182.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> SandRidge Energy (SD -3.70%) jumped over 10% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 7 cents, above consensus of 4 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> National Oilwell (NOV +2.98%) was initiated with an &#8216;Overweight&#8217; at Barclays with a price target of $80.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Halliburton (HAL +2.16%) was initiated with an &#8216;Overweight&#8217; at Barclays with a price target of $48.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Baker Hughes (BHI +0.99%) waas initiated with an &#8216;Overweight&#8217; at Barclays with a price target of $65.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> JPMorgan Chase reported a 4.9% passive stake in Brinker (EAT +0.76%).<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Nabors Industries (NBR +0.36%) and Helmerich &amp; Payne (HP +2.25%) were both downgraded to &#8216;Hold&#8217; from &#8216;Buy&#8217; at KeyBanc.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY +1.59%) reported Q3 EPS of $1.23, better than consensus of $1.19, and then said it sees fiscal 2014 EPS at approximately $5.05-$5.09, above consensus of $5.04.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Macy&#8217;s (M +0.38%) fell 4% in after-hours trading after it gave guidance on fiscal 2014 EPS of $4.25-$4.35, below consensus of $4.36, and then said it plans to close 14 stores.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Helen of Troy (HELE +2.83%) gained over 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $2.17, well above consensus of $1.57, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2015 adj EPS to $5.01-$5.11 from $4.55-$4.65, above consensus of $4.92.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> PriceSmart (PSMT +1.92%) reported Q1 EPS of 68 cents, below consensus of 73 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Earnings and Economic Numbers<\/strong> from seekingalpha.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today&#8217;s economic calendar:<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Non-farm payrolls<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 Wholesale Trade<\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings before today&#8217;s open: AYI, AZZ, INFY, SYRG<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings after today&#8217;s close: ANGO, BBBY, CUDA, EOPN, HELE, PSMT, RT, TCS, VOXX<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2015\/01\/03\/earnings-jan-5-9\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2015\/01\/03\/economic-numbers-jan-5-9\/\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n   var gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\"); document.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n   var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Friday. Happy Employment Numbers Day. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly up. Australia, India and South Korea did well; Taiwan, China and Singapore posted small losses. Europe currently leans to the downside. Spain and Russia are down more than 2%, Italy more than 1%, Amsterdam, Austria, London, France and Germany are down noteably. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8227"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8227"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8227\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8227"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8227"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8227"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}