{"id":8427,"date":"2015-03-26T07:43:14","date_gmt":"2015-03-26T12:43:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=8427"},"modified":"2015-03-26T07:43:14","modified_gmt":"2015-03-26T12:43:14","slug":"before-the-open-mar-26-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=8427","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Mar 26)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Thursday.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly down. India dropped more than 2%; Japan, Australia and South Korea fell more than 1%. Europe is currently down across-the-board. Greece is down more than 3%, Stockholm and Amsterdam more than 2% and London, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Austria, Switzerland and Prague more than 1%. Futures here in the States point towards a big gap down open for the cash market.<!--more--><br \/>\n<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>My <a href=\"http:\/\/stockcharts.com\/public\/1431621\">public list<\/a> at stockcharts.com is here. If you&#8217;re a sub, vote if you want me to continue posting.<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The dollar is down. Oil and copper are up. Gold and silver are up. Bonds are down. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The big news overnight is Saudi Arabia and its allies have launched an attacked on Yemen. This has sent markets around the world down and oil up. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> I&#8217;ve profiled oil a few times recently. It&#8217;s been moving up and is now attempting to bust out of its large falling wedge pattern. It traded as high as $52.48 overnight but has backed off. Fear of some supply disruptions from the Middle East are the reason for the pop since yesterday&#8217;s close, but it&#8217;ll take much more than that to sustain a move up. There&#8217;s lots of overhead supply to deal with, and unless things escalate in the Middle East, fear of too much supply and zero storage capacity will again surface. If you go long, don&#8217;t assume we&#8217;re in the beginning stage of an extended run. Here&#8217;s the daily crude chart as of yesterday&#8217;s close. <\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/pm2\/wtic032515.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> And here&#8217;s the daily S&amp;P chart I&#8217;ve been posting. Again, other than a little extra push at the end of February, there have been lots of ups and downs, and no move has lasted long or traveled very far. That means we need to be ahead of the curve taking profits and not assume anything will be a longer term hold. Lots of little wins adds up. Today&#8217;s open will be right at support. <\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/pm2\/spx032515.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> News trumps the charts, so at least in the very near term, whether things escalate or die down in the Middle East may determine if stocks continue to sell off or rebound. More after the open. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> <strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> SanDisk (SNDK -4.21%) lowered Q1 revenue guidance to $1.3 billion from $1.4 billion-$1.45 billion, below consensus of $1.44 billion.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> ConAgra Foods (CAG +0.90%) reported Q3 EPS of 59 cents, higher thah consensus of 52 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Accenture PLC (ACN -1.34%) reported Q2 EPS of $1.08, better than consensus of $1.07.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Charles Schwab (SCHW -1.95%) was upgraded to &#8216;Overweight&#8217; from &#8216;Underweight&#8217; at Barclays.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Dr Pepper Snapple (DPS -0.57%) and Con-way (CNW -1.50%) were both upgraded to &#8216;Buy&#8217; from &#8216;Hold&#8217; at Stifel.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> lululemon (LULU -3.70%) reported Q4 EPS of 78 cents, higher than consensus of 73 cents, but then lowered guidance on fiscal 2015 EPS to $1.85-$1.90, below consensus of $2.06.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> ASML ({=ASML was downgraded to &#8216;Sell&#8217; from &#8216;Hold&#8217; at Deutsche Bank.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Man Group reported a 5.6% passive stake in 1-800-Flowers.com (FLWS -4.83%) .<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> LifePoint (LPNT -2.30%) was downgraded to &#8216;Neutral&#8217; from &#8216;Buy&#8217; at Mizuho.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Red Hat (RHT -1.37%) reported Q4 EPS of 43 cents, above consensus of 41 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Verint Systems (VRNT -1.08%) reported Q4 EPS of $1.19, better than consensus of $1.15, but thenlowered guidance on fiscal 2015 EPS to $3.55-$3.75, below consensus of $3.76.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> PVH Corp. (PVH +0.43%) reported Q4 EPS of $1.76, higher than consensus of $1.73, but then lowered guidance on fiscal 2015 EPS to $6.75-$6.90, below consensus of $7.37.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Earnings and Economic Numbers<\/strong> from seekingalpha.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today&#8217;s economic calendar:<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 4:35 Fed&#8217;s Bullard: U.S. Economy and Monetary Policy<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Initial Jobless Claims<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:00 Fed&#8217;s Lockhart: U.S. Economy and Monetary Policy<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:45 PMI Services Index Flash<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:45 Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 11:00 Kansas City Fed Mfg Survey<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 1:00 PM Results of $29B, 7-Year Note Auction<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 4:30 PM Money Supply<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings before today&#8217;s open: ACN, CAG, CMC, CMGE, CVGW, DANG, FRED, LULU, MEA, NEOG, SCHL, SIG, SPCB, WGO<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings after today&#8217;s close: CARA, GME, REED, RH<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2015\/03\/21\/earnings-mar-23-27\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2015\/03\/21\/economic-numbers-mar-23-27\/\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n    var gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\"); document.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n    var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Thursday. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly down. India dropped more than 2%; Japan, Australia and South Korea fell more than 1%. Europe is currently down across-the-board. Greece is down more than 3%, Stockholm and Amsterdam more than 2% and London, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Austria, Switzerland and Prague more than 1%. Futures [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8427"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8427"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8427\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8427"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8427"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8427"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}