{"id":8550,"date":"2015-05-01T07:38:21","date_gmt":"2015-05-01T12:38:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=8550"},"modified":"2015-05-01T07:38:21","modified_gmt":"2015-05-01T12:38:21","slug":"before-the-open-may1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=8550","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (May 1)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Friday. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Most of the Asian\/Pacific markets were closed today. Malaysia dropped 1.3%; the others (Japan, Australia, New Zealand) posted small gains. London posted a small gain; the rest of Europe was closed. Futures here in the States point towards an up open for the cash market.<!--more--><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>List of ETFs &#8211;&gt; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leavittbrothers.com\/etf\/\">here<\/a><\/strong><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The dollar is up a small amount. Oil is down, copper is up. Gold and silver are down. Bonds are down. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The market got crushed yesterday. Here&#8217;s the daily Russell chart. It broke a trendline that went back to the October low, and it has penetrated its 50-day by the greatest amount in six months. <\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/pm2\/rut043015.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Twitter and Yelp have already taken big post-earnings hits. Today LinkedIn will join the party and drop 20% at today&#8217;s open. What&#8217;s going on with Web 2.0? Web 1.0 (AMZN, NFLX, EBAY) are doing okay.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Several other groups have turned down recently. Health care plans, biotech, aerospace &amp; defense, retail &#8211; these groups had done great for a long time but their uptrends are not over. It forces us to ask the question: If the market is going to move up, what groups are going to take a leadership role? Coal? Industrial metals? Nonferrous metals? These groups have done well lately, but they are hardly the types of groups capable of leading the market up. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Here&#8217;s a chart from Chart of the Day that shows the gains during November-April (blue line) significantly out-performs the May-October period (green). <\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/pm2\/cod043015.gif\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Overall the trend remains up, but in the near term I don&#8217;t trust this market. More after the open. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> <strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> AON Plc (AON -1.69%) reported Q1 EPS of $1.37, better than consensus of $1.28.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Leggett &amp; Platt (LEG -1.76%) reported Q1 EPS of 50 cents, above consensus of 46 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Enbridge Energy (EEP -2.21%) reported Q1 EPS of 26 cents, higher than consensus of 22 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> YRC Worldwide (YRCW -2.07%) reported a Q1 EPS loss of -70 cents, a bigger loss than consensus of -49 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Baidu (BIDU -8.55%) was downgraded to &#8216;Hold&#8217; from &#8216;Buy&#8217; at Jefferies.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Fluor (FLR -1.36%) reported Q1 EPS of 96 cents, below consensus of 98 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Bloomberg reported that Monsanto (MON -0.90%) approached Syngenta (SYT -3.36%) regarding a takeover.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> AIG (AIG -0.64%) reported Q1 EPS of $1.22, higher than consensus of $1.19.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Reuters reports that Intel talked about offering $58 per share for Altera (ALTR +2.36%) .<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Expedia (EXPE -2.11%) climbed over 6% in after-hours trading after it unexpectedly reported a Q1 adjusted EPS loss of -3 cents, below consensus of a 9 cent profit, although Q1 revenue of $1.37 billion was above consensus of $1.35 billion.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Fortune Brands (FBHS -2.73%) reported Q1 EPS ex-items of 28 cents, weaker than consensus of 32 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Visa (V -1.92%) reported Q2 EPS of 63 cents, above consensus of 62 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Western Union (WU -0.54%) reported Q1 EPS of 39 cents, better than consensus of 38 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Century Aluminum (CENX -1.60%) reported Q1 EPS of 76 cents, higher than consensus of 63 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> LinkedIn (LNKD -1.95%) plunged over 20% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 EPS of 57 cents, better than consensus of 56 cents, but then lowered guidance on fiscal 2015 EPS to $1.90, well below consensus of $3.03.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Columbia Sportswear (COLM -1.55%) reported Q1 EPS of 37 cents, above consensus of 36 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Gilead (GILD -1.77%) is up over 2% in pre-market trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $2.94, well above consensus of $2.32.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Earnings and Economic Numbers<\/strong> from seekingalpha.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today&#8217;s economic calendar:<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Auto sales<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:45 PMI Manufacturing Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 ISM Manufacturing Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 Construction Spending<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 Reuters\/UofM Consumer Sentiment<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings before today&#8217;s open: AON, AXL, BCO, BERY, BPL, CBM, CBOE, CHTR, CLX, CPN, CTB, CVS, CVX, DUK, FE, GWR, HPY, ITT, KCG, LM, LPNT, MCO, MGI, MNTA, MOG.A, MOSY, MSG, NSP, NTLS, NWL, PEG, PNM, PNW, RUTH, RYAM, TDS, TRP, USM, VFC, WETF, WY, ZEUS<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Notable earnings after today&#8217;s close: AEC, BRK.B, VNR<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2015\/04\/25\/earnings-apr-27-may-1\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2015\/04\/25\/economic-numbers-apr-27-may-1\/\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n    var gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? 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Happy Friday. Most of the Asian\/Pacific markets were closed today. Malaysia dropped 1.3%; the others (Japan, Australia, New Zealand) posted small gains. London posted a small gain; the rest of Europe was closed. Futures here in the States point towards an up open for the cash market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8550"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8550"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8550\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8550"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8550"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8550"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}