{"id":8901,"date":"2015-08-12T07:47:41","date_gmt":"2015-08-12T12:47:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=8901"},"modified":"2015-08-12T07:47:41","modified_gmt":"2015-08-12T12:47:41","slug":"before-the-open-aug-12-6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=8901","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Aug 12)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Wednesday.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Asian\/Pacific markets closed down across the board. Indonesia fell more than 3%, Hong Kong and Singapore more than 2%, Japan, China, Australia, India, Malaysia, New Zealand and Taiwan more than 1%. Europe is also extremely weak. Belgium is down more than 3%, Germany, France, Netherlands, Finland and Italy more than 2%, London, Austria, Sweden, Switzerland, Greece, Turkey, Denmark and Spain more than 1%. Futures here in the States point towards a relatively big gap down for the cash market. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>VIDEO overview of the Leavitt Brothers service&#8230;<a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/3QLy03CWLbg\">here<\/a><\/strong><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><!--more-->The dollar is down. Oil is up, copper is flat. Gold and silver are up. Bonds are up. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> China has further devalued their currency. The assumption is if they need to do this to make their exports more attractive their economy must not be doing very well. They are genuinely scared. Markets around the world are down a bunch. Will this spark a global currency war &#8211; everyone trying to devalue more than the next? I have no idea how that ends. I&#8217;m not sure central bankers around the world know either. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> What I do know, and what I&#8217;ve been saying for weeks, is my bias is to the downside&#8230;that the weak internals would cap every attempt to move up&#8230;that every rally is shortable until that proves to be unwise&#8230;that longs are short term only.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Here&#8217;s the 60-min SPY chart. First the range expanded, now it&#8217;s contracting. Pressure has been building. The ups and downs have dampened. We used to get a week or two in one direction, then a week or two in the other. Now we&#8217;re only get a day or two. <\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/i\/spy081215.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Who will flinch first? You know my answer. My bias remains to the downside. More after the open. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Alibaba (BABA -3.89%) slid over 5% in pre-market trading after it reported Q1 EPS of 59 cents, better than consensus of 58 cents, but Q1 revenue of $3.27 billion was below consensus of $3.39 billion.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Aramark (ARMK -0.62%) reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 29 cents, above consensus of 28 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Cash America (CSH -3.26%) was upgraded to &#8216;Buy&#8217; from &#8216;Neutral&#8217; at Sterne Agee CRT.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> L Brands (LB -1.08%) was downgraded to &#8216;Market Perform&#8217; from &#8216;Outperform&#8217; at BMO Capital.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Johnson Controls (JCI -3.59%) was upgraded to &#8216;Buy&#8217; from &#8216;Neutral&#8217; at Goldman Sachs.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Tenneco (TEN -2.79%) was upgraded to &#8216;Neutral&#8217; from &#8216;Sell&#8217; at Goldman Sachs.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Applied Industrial (AIT -0.10%) reported Q4 EPS of 70 cents, below consensus of 73 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The WSJ reports that Credit Suisse (CS -2.09%) and Barclays (BCS -1.42%) are in settlement talks with the SEC and the New York Attorney General over allegations of wrongdoing at their &#8220;dark pools.&#8221;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> CDK Global (CDK -3.23%) rose over 9% in after-hours trading after Bloomberg reported that the company is said to be working with bankers to explore a sale.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> CSC (CSC -1.77%) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $1.11, higher than consensus of $1.01, and then was upgraded to &#8216;Buy&#8217; from &#8216;Neutral&#8217; at SunTrust.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Gabelli reported a 6.47% stake in Southwest Gas (SWX +1.27%) .<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Viavi (VIAV -5.80%) reported Q4 EPS of 13 cents, better than consensus of 8 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Fossil (FOSL -3.74%) reported Q2 EPS of $1.12, above consensus of 82 cents, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2015 EPS to $6.20-$7.00, well above consensus of $5.57.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Earnings and Economic Numbers<\/strong> from seekingalpha.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today&#8217;s Economic Calendar<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 7:00 MBA Mortgage Applications<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 Atlanta Fed&#8217;s Business Inflation Expectations<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 1:00 PM Results of $24B, 10-Year Note Auction<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 2:00 PM Treasury Budget<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today&#8217;s Earnings <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/earnings_center\/upcoming\">here<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2015\/08\/08\/earnings-aug-10-14-2\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2015\/08\/08\/economic-numbers-aug-10-14\/\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n    var gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\"); document.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n    var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Wednesday. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed down across the board. Indonesia fell more than 3%, Hong Kong and Singapore more than 2%, Japan, China, Australia, India, Malaysia, New Zealand and Taiwan more than 1%. Europe is also extremely weak. Belgium is down more than 3%, Germany, France, Netherlands, Finland and Italy more than [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8901"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8901"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8901\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8901"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8901"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8901"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}