{"id":9025,"date":"2015-10-30T07:53:07","date_gmt":"2015-10-30T12:53:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=9025"},"modified":"2015-10-30T07:53:07","modified_gmt":"2015-10-30T12:53:07","slug":"before-the-open-oct-30-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=9025","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Oct 30)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Friday.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly down, but losses were minimal. India, Australia and Hong Kong were weak; Japan did well. Europe is currently mixed, and movement is minimal there too. Greece is down 2.5%. Otherwise, Belgium, Russia and Finland are doing the best; Netherlands, Turkey, Hungary and Spain are weakest. Futures here in the States point towards an up open for the cash market. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.leavittbrothers.com\/members\/register.cfm\">Subscribe to Leavitt Brothers today<\/a>.<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><!--more-->The dollar is down. Oil is up, copper is down. Gold and silver are down. Bonds are down. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> This is the last day of October. Barring a flash crash type event the market doesn&#8217;t recover from, the month will close with the biggest monthly gain in many years. In September the sky was falling, and everyone said the uptrend was over, and a new downtrend was in its beginning stages. Now, a month later, the tone has completely changed. Worst case scenario now is a big range that lasts many more months before breaking down. Here&#8217;s the monthly S&amp;P. <\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/pm2\/spxM103015.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Despite my bias firmly being to the upside overall, near term I&#8217;m less confident. A couple indicators have diverged from the price action, and a few others have moved directionally long enough to justify a reversal in the near term.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Here&#8217;s the AD line. While the market has moved up, it has trended down, suggesting a lack of support for the market gains. It doesn&#8217;t imply anything about the long term, but in the near term hints that the market may need to rest and reset. <\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/pm2\/nyad102915.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Besides indicators like the AD line pulling back, we have a lack of good set ups to play. Some are too far gone to chase&#8230;others have earnings coming up so are not playable&#8230;many aren&#8217;t trading in recognizable patterns. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> I like the market overall, but I don&#8217;t see much to do in the near term. More after the open. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Weyerhaeuser (WY -0.38%) reported Q3 EPS of 35 cents, higher than consensus of 25 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Phillips 66 (PSX +1.81%) reported Q3 EPS of $3.02, well above consensus of $2.25.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Valeant Pharmaceuticals International (VRX -4.70%) slid 7% in pre-market trading after Phildor RX Services LLC, a pharmacy that fills prescriptions for Valeant, was said to have altered doctors&#8217; prescriptions in order to get more reimbursements out of insurers.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Linkedin (LNKD +1.78%) surged 13% in pre-market trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 78 cents, well ahead of consensus of 45 cents, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2015 EPS to $2.63 from a previous estimate of $2.19, higher than consensus of $2.23.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Live Nation (LYV -1.10%) jumped over 7% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 44 cents, better than consensus of 43 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Starbucks (SBUX -1.59%) fell over 1% in after-hours trading after it said it sees Q1 EPS of 44 cents-45 cents, below consensus of 47 cents, and said it sees revenue growth of 10% on a 52-week basis, below consensus of 12%.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Expedia (EXPE +1.00%) rose 7% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $2.07, better than consensus of $2.02.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Fluor (FLR -1.42%) dropped over 1% in after-hours trading after it lowered guidance on fiscal 2016 EPS to $3.50-$4.00, below consensus of $4.07.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Genworth Financial (GNW -0.95%) slumped over 12% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 operating EPS of 13 cents, weaker than consensus of 22 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Solarcity (SCTY -0.70%) tumbled over 15% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q3 EPS loss of -$2.10, a wider loss than consensus of -$1.91.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Lending Club (LC -2.71%) climbed over 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 4 cents, double consensus of 2 cents, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2015 operating revenue to $420 million-$422 million from a previous estimate of $405 million-$409 million, above consensus of $408.5 million.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Fiesta Restaurant Group (FRGI -3.79%) dropped nearly 7% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 33 cents, below consensus of 37 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Deckers Outdoor (DECK -0.44%) jumped over 10% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 EPS of $1.11, higher than consensus of $1.06, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2015 EPS to $5.18 from a July estimate of $5.15, above consensus of $5.14.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> YRC Worldwide (YRCW +3.13%) surged over 15% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of 61 cents, nearly double consensus of 31 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Earnings and Economic Numbers<\/strong> from seekingalpha.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today&#8217;s Economic Calendar<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Initial Jobless Claims<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 GDP Q3<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:45 Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 Pending Home Sales<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 1:00 PM Results of $29B, 7-Year Note Auction<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 3:00 Farm Prices<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 4:30 PM Money Supply<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Today&#8217;s Earnings <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/earnings_center\/upcoming\">here<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2015\/10\/24\/earnings-oct-26-30\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2015\/10\/24\/economic-numbers-oct-26-30-2\/\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n\/\/ <![CDATA[   var gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\"); document.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\")); \/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<invalidTag type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[   var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview(); \/\/ ]]><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Friday. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly down, but losses were minimal. India, Australia and Hong Kong were weak; Japan did well. Europe is currently mixed, and movement is minimal there too. Greece is down 2.5%. Otherwise, Belgium, Russia and Finland are doing the best; Netherlands, Turkey, Hungary and Spain are weakest. Futures [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9025"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9025"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9025\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9025"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9025"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9025"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}