{"id":9146,"date":"2015-12-03T08:49:11","date_gmt":"2015-12-03T13:49:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=9146"},"modified":"2015-12-03T08:49:11","modified_gmt":"2015-12-03T13:49:11","slug":"before-the-open-dec-3-6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=9146","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Dec 3)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Thursday.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Asian\/Pacific markets closed with a lean to the downside. China gained 1.35%; Australia, India and South Korea dropped more than 0.5%. Europe currently leans to the upside, but there are very few big movers. Greece is down more than 1%, and Russia is up more than 1%. Austria, Hungary, Spain, Italy and Romania are also doing well. Futures in the States point towards a moderate gap up open for the cash market. <\/span><br \/>\n<!--more-->&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Join our <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leavittbrothers.com\/email-subscribe.cfm\"><strong>email list<\/strong><\/a> and get reports and videos sent directly to you. <\/strong><\/span><br \/>\n&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The dollar is down. Oil and copper are up. Gold and silver are up. Bonds are down.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The market hasn&#8217;t been able to make up its mind this week. It moved down Monday, but stayed within its range. Then it broke out Tuesday&#8230;then it gave everything back, plus some, on Wednesday. Here&#8217;s the 10-min chart going back 12 days. It looks like a false breakout, but the bears aren&#8217;t yet in total control.<\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/i\/spx120315.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Oil took a big hit yesterday and closed at its lowest level since August. Overnight Saudi Arabia said it would be open to oil cuts if producers inside and outside the cartel participated. I&#8217;m not sure how that would work. It&#8217;s one thing for governments to agree, but what about all the independent oil companies? In any case, oil is up a little this morning after falling more than 4% yesterday. Here&#8217;s the daily chart. <\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/pm2\/wtic120215.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Tomorrow we get the latest employment figures. The numbers have been decent for several months, so unless there&#8217;s an outlier move, I don&#8217;t see the numbers being overly important. More important are comments made be Janet Yellen yesterday that she looks forward to raising rates&#8230;because the move would imply we&#8217;re on the road to a successful economic recovery. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> I don&#8217;t know. To me the inflation\/deflation picture is more important. If you look at the cost of health care, there&#8217;s huge inflation in the system, but if you look at oil and copper, there are definitely deflationary pressures. I don&#8217;t know what the real situation is. I don&#8217;t know what&#8217;s supposed to count and what should be ignored. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> December is the best month of the year, but as is typically the case, the faith of the bulls will be tested. More after the open. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Mallinckrodt PLC (MNK +1.23%) rose over 1% in pre-market trading after the stock was upgraded to &#8216;Overweight&#8217; from &#8216;Equalweight&#8217; at Morgan Stanley.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Disney (DIS -1.20%) boosted its semi-annual dividend to 71 cents a share from 66 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Avago (AVGO -0.51%) climbed over 8% in pre-market trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $2.51, higher than consensus of $2.38.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Boyd Gaming (BYD +1.88%) gained over 1% in after-hours trading after Goldman Sachs upgraded the stock to &#8216;Neutral&#8217; from &#8216;Sell.&#8217;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Dollar General (DG -0.56%) reported Q3 EPS of 88 cents, better than consensus of 87 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Dyax (DYAX -0.83%) jumped over 10% in after-hours trading after it said its deal to acquire Shire Pharmaceuticals International cleared an anti-trust review by the U.S. Federal Trade Commission.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Tilly&#8217;s (TLYS +0.99%) dropped over 7% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 16 cents, above consensus of 14 cents, but then lowered guidance on Q4 EPS to 10 cents-12 cents, well below consensus of 21 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> PVH Corp. (PVH +1.26%) rallied over 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $2.66, better than consensus of $2.47.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Aeropostale (ARO +5.36%) slid nearly 3% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q3 adjusted EPS loss of -31 cents, a smaller loss than expectations of -34 cents, but then lowered guidance on Q4 EPS to a loss of -4 cents to -17 cents, below consensus of a 2 cent profit.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Verint Systems (VRNT -0.96%) tumbled 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 78 cents, below consensus of 79 cents, and then lowered guidance on fiscal 2016 adjusted EPS to $3.30 from a September estimate of $3.45, below consensus of $3.46.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Synopsys (SNPS -0.91%) reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 67 cents, above consensus of 66 cents, but then lowered guidance on Q1 adjusted EPS to 60 cents-63 cents, below consensus of 72 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> American Eagle (AEO +0.25%) rose over 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 35 cents, better than consensus of 34 cents, and said it sees Q4 EPS of 40 cents-42 cents, in line with consensus of 41 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Photronics (PLAB +0.81%) rallied over 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 25 cents, higher than consensus of 19 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Box (BOX +3.28%) fell over 1% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted loss of -31 cents, right on consensus, although Q3 revenue of $78.7 million was above consensus of $76.8 million.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Earnings and Economic Numbers<\/strong> from seekingalpha.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today&#8217;s Economic Calendar<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Chain Store Sales<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 7:30 Challenger Job-Cut Report<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Initial Jobless Claims<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Gallup Good Jobs Rate<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:45 PMI Services Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:45 Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 Factory Orders<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 ISM Non-Manufacturing Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 Yellen testifies before the Joint Economic Committee<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 4:30 PM Money Supply<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Today&#8217;s Earnings <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/earnings_center\/upcoming\">here<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2015\/11\/29\/earnings-nov-30-dec-4-2\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2015\/11\/29\/economic-numbers-nov-30-dec-4-2\/\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n       var gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\"); document.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n       var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Thursday. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed with a lean to the downside. China gained 1.35%; Australia, India and South Korea dropped more than 0.5%. Europe currently leans to the upside, but there are very few big movers. Greece is down more than 1%, and Russia is up more than 1%. Austria, Hungary, Spain, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9146"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9146"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9146\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9146"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9146"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9146"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}