{"id":9235,"date":"2015-12-31T08:52:44","date_gmt":"2015-12-31T13:52:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=9235"},"modified":"2015-12-31T08:52:44","modified_gmt":"2015-12-31T13:52:44","slug":"before-the-open-dec-31-6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=9235","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Dec 31)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Thursday.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mixed. China dropped almost 1%; India and Taiwan did well. Half of Europe was closed today. Greece is doing very well. Poland and Spain are down more than 1%; London, Turkey, Italy and the Netherlands are also weak. Futures in the States point towards a gap down open for the cash market. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The dollar is up. Oil and copper are down. Gold and silver are down. Bonds are up. <\/span><br \/>\n<!--more-->&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>VIDEO: <a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/3QLy03CWLbg\"><strong>Leavitt Brothers Overview<\/strong><\/a> <\/strong><\/span><br \/>\n&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> So here we go&#8230;last day of the year. The S&amp;P closed 2014 at 2058.90. Yesterday&#8217;s close was at 2063.36, so as of now the index is up 4.46 points, or 0.22%, for the year. Here&#8217;s the S&amp;P performance chart. <\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/pm2\/spx2015123015.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> To resist being the first year since 1875 (do we even have data before than) that ends in a 5 to close with a loss, the S&amp;P can&#8217;t fall by more than 4.46 points today. That&#8217;s a pretty small amount, and considering S&amp;P futures are down about 5.50 as of this writing, it&#8217;s a toss up. Here&#8217;s an image with the performance of all years ending in a 5. <\/span><br \/>\n<img src=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/pm2\/yearsendin5123015.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> What would it mean if 2015 ended with a loss? I have no freaking clue. The presidential cycle makes sense to me. &#8220;Sell in May and go away&#8221; makes sense. This stat doesn&#8217;t make sense, and until someone can give me a decent explanation, I&#8217;m going to write it off as random dumb luck. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> January will be active, volatile and very telling. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Be safe out there tonight. Lots of crazy idiots on the road. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Fidelity National reported that it increased its stake in Del Frisco&#8217;s Restaurant Group (DFRG -0.68%) to 9.31% from 8.10%.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Chimerix (CMRX +13.30%) jumped nearly 5% in after-hours trading after Point72 Asset reported an initial 5.3% passive stake in the company.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Lockheed Martin (LMT -0.30%) was awarded a $1.06 billion definitization modification pact for 32 C-130J aircraft from the U.S. Department of Defense.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Spectra Energy Partners (SEP +3.69%) said it shut its 932-mile Platte pipeline that carries 145,000 bpd of crude oil to wood River, Il., from Guernsey, WY., due to flooding along the Mississippi River<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Fairholme Capital Management reported a 26% stake in Sears Holdings (SHLD -3.29%) .<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Daily Mail reported that &#8220;corporate financiers&#8221; have been working over the holiday on a possible merger between Vodafone Group Plc (VOD -0.86%) and Liberty Global Plc (LBTYA +0.47%) in early 2016.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Scorpio Bulkers (SALT -2.78%) announced the sale of 5 vessels, 3 Capesize dry bulk vessels and 2 newbuilding Capesize dry bulk vessels, for $167 million.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Earnings and Economic Numbers<\/strong> from seekingalpha.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today&#8217;s Economic Calendar<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Initial Jobless Claims<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:45 Chicago PMI<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:45 Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 1:00 PM Baker-Hughes Rig Count<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 4:30 PM Money Supply<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Today&#8217;s Earnings <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/earnings_center\/upcoming\">here<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2015\/12\/26\/earnings-dec-28-jan-1\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/index.php\/2015\/12\/26\/economic-numbers-dec-28-jan-1\/\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n    var gaJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ? \"https:\/\/ssl.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\"); document.write(unescape(\"%3Cscript src='\" + gaJsHost + \"google-analytics.com\/ga.js' type='text\/javascript'%3E%3C\/script%3E\"));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n    var pageTracker = _gat._getTracker(\"UA-6273151-1\"); pageTracker._initData(); pageTracker._trackPageview();\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Thursday. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mixed. China dropped almost 1%; India and Taiwan did well. Half of Europe was closed today. Greece is doing very well. Poland and Spain are down more than 1%; London, Turkey, Italy and the Netherlands are also weak. Futures in the States point towards a gap down [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9235"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9235"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9235\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9235"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9235"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9235"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}