{"id":9516,"date":"2016-03-04T08:48:04","date_gmt":"2016-03-04T13:48:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=9516"},"modified":"2016-03-04T08:48:04","modified_gmt":"2016-03-04T13:48:04","slug":"before-the-open-mar-4-6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=9516","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Mar 4)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Friday. Happy Employment Numbers Day. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly up. Hong Kong and Singapore rallied more than 1%; China and New Zealand also did well. Europe is currenly mostly up. Denmark is up more than 3%; Germany, France, London, Austria, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, Hungary and Portugal are up more than 1%. Prior to the release of the latest employment data, futures here in the States point towards a positive open for the cash market. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><!--more-->The dollar is flat. Oil and copper are up. Gold and silver are up. Bonds are mixed. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The market moved up again yesterday. The volume is falling off a little; the intraday ranges, volatility and activity level are waning. SPX 2000 is just overhead. It&#8217;s time to start being a little more careful. The S&amp;P has rallied 180 points in about three weeks. The easy money has been made. We&#8217;ve gotten lots of good trades off the last few weeks. It&#8217;s time to tone things down.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Here are the employment numbers\u2026<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> unemployment rate: 4.9% (was 4.9% last month)<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> nonfarm payrolls: +242K<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> private payrolls:<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> average workweek: down 0.2 hours to 34.4 hours<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> hourly wages: down $0.03 to $25.35<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> labor participation rate: 62.9%<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> January revised from 151K to 172K.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> December revised from 262K to 271K.<\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> After the release, futures jumped, so as of now, the S&amp;P is set to open above 2000. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> SPX 2000 is an another inflection point. I don&#8217;t think the index trades here for long. The market either gets rejected (there have been some spike highs the last year) or blows right through and thoroughly frustrates the bears. I&#8217;m betting on a continuation of the rally, even if prices rest in the near term. If I&#8217;m wrong, oh well. I&#8217;ll give back some of my profits, but that&#8217;s the price you pay for having exposure. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> In the very near term be on the lookout for a &#8220;sell the news&#8221; scenario. Otherwise I&#8217;m looking for higher prices. More after the open. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Freeport McMoRan (FCX +1.56%) is up over 4% in pre-market trading as metals prices rallied with gold at a 13-month high and copper at a 3-3\/4 month high.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Tyson Foods (TSN +0.35%) was downgraded to &#8216;Hold&#8217; from &#8216;Buy&#8217; at BB&amp;T Capital Markets.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Staples (SPLS +1.75%) reported Q4 non-GAAP EPS of 26 cents, below consensus of 28 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE -2.16%) jumped 7% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 revenue of $12.72 billion, above consensus of $12.68 billion.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> UDR Inc. (UDR +1.00%) rallied nearly 2% in after-hours trading after it was announced that UDR will replace Keurig Green Mountain in the S&amp;P 500 as of the close of trading Friday, March 4.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> H&amp;R Block (HRB +0.95%) dropped nearly 6% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q3 adjusted continuing operations loss of -34 cents, a wider loss than consensus of -24 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Cooper Companies (COO +1.12%) gained over 2% in after-hours trading after it raised guidance on 2016 adjusted EPS to $8.00-$8.30 from a December estimate of $7.60-$7.90, above consensus of $7.77.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Smith &amp; Wesson Holding (SWHC +0.47%) climbed over 6% in pre-market trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 59 cents, higher than consensus of 41 cents, and then raised guidance on 2016 adjusted EPS to $1.68-$1.70 from a January estimate of $1.36-$1.41, above consensus of $1.47.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Planet Fitness (PLNT +0.68%) rose 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 17 cents, better than consensus of 15 cents, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2016 EPS to 60 cents-63 cents, above consensus of 59 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Ambarella (AMBA +2.17%) lost over 5% in after-hours trading after it said it sees Q1 revenue of $55 million-$57 million, below consensus of $62.4 million.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Broadcom Ltd. (AVGO +0.26%) jumped nearly 7% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $2.41, higher than consensus of $2.29.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Mentor Graphics (MENT -0.05%) slid over 3% in after-hours trading after it said it sees Q1 adjusted EPS of break-even, less than consensus of a 19 cent gain.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Nimble Storage (NMBL +4.43%) dropped nearly 8% in after-hours trading after it said it sees a Q1 loss of -25 cents to -27 cents a share, a bigger loss than consensus of -16 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Earnings and Economic Numbers<\/strong> from seekingalpha.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Thursday&#8217;s Key Earnings<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Ambarella (NASDAQ:AMBA) -7.3% AH on a soft FQ1 outlook.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) +7.2% AH as lower spending boosted EPS.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Joy Global (NYSE:JOY) +20.8% after maintaining guidance.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Hewlett-Packard Enterprise (NYSE:HPE) +6% AH on solid forecasts.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Smith &amp; Wesson (NASDAQ:SWHC) +4.3% AH following a big guidance boost.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Stratasys (NASDAQ:SSYS) +17.4% after topping expectations.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today&#8217;s Economic Calendar<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Non-farm payrolls<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 International Trade<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:45 Fed&#8217;s Kaplan: Monetary Policy<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 1:00 PM Baker-Hughes Rig Count<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Today&#8217;s Earnings <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/earnings\/upcoming\">here<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/earnings\/2016\/02\/29-4\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/economic\/2016\/02\/29-04\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Friday. Happy Employment Numbers Day. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly up. Hong Kong and Singapore rallied more than 1%; China and New Zealand also did well. Europe is currenly mostly up. Denmark is up more than 3%; Germany, France, London, Austria, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, Hungary and Portugal are up more than [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9516"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9516"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9516\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9516"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9516"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9516"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}