{"id":9527,"date":"2016-03-09T08:46:50","date_gmt":"2016-03-09T13:46:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=9527"},"modified":"2016-03-09T08:46:50","modified_gmt":"2016-03-09T13:46:50","slug":"before-the-open-mar-9-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=9527","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Mar 9)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Wednesday.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mixed. Singapore moved up 1.1%; Australia and India also did well. China dropped 1.3%. Europe is currently mostly up. Germany, France, the Netherlands, Spain, Italy, Belgium and Portugal are up more than 1%; London, Austria, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey and Finland are also doing well. Greece is down 2%; Russia is down 1%. Futures here in the States point towards a moderate gap up open for the cash market. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><!--more-->The dollar is up. Oil and copper are up. Gold and silver are down. Bonds are down. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today is the anniversary of the bull market which started on March 9, 2009. The market still has not suffered a 20% correction, and as of now is the third-longest such stretch in history. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Gold stocks took hits yesterday. I think the run off the January low is likely over for now. I&#8217;m not saying it&#8217;s over for good and the stocks are about to revisit their lows; I&#8217;m just saying many of the stocks have experienced huge runs the last two months, and it&#8217;s time for a break. I wouldn&#8217;t be chasing here, and I wouldn&#8217;t be too anxious to buy dips either. My plan is to buy a dip&#8230;but not yet. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Many other commodity stocks took hits yesterday too. FCX, which rallied from 4 to 10, dropped 12%. CNX, which moved from 5 to 11, dropped 10%. Many others, which did equally well for about two months, took hits. The stocks need a break. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> There&#8217;s an FOMC meeting next week, so interest rate talk will ramp up. If the market continues to do well, odds favor rates being raised this year &#8211; not necessarily at next week&#8217;s meeting, but at some time. This is different than in January, when it was universally agreed the Fed wouldn&#8217;t touch rates in 2016. Rate talk could influence the US dollar, which influences commodity stocks. Like I said&#8230;a good time to take a break. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Otherwise I&#8217;m going to treat the current trend like it&#8217;s up, even though the near term is not clear. We had a month of good set ups, and now it&#8217;s time to wait and see what happens. More after the open. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> CBS Corp. (CBS -1.58%) was upgraded to &#8216;Outperform&#8217; from &#8216;Market Perform&#8217; at Wells Fargo Securities.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Yelp (YELP -4.74%) and Groupon (GRPN -3.78%) were both downgraded to &#8216;Sell&#8217; from &#8216;Neutral&#8217; at UBS.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> United Continental Holdings (UAL -2.20%) reported February traffic was up +2.7% and available seat miles were up +6%, but still sees Q1 passenger unit revenue down 6%-8% y\/y due to a stronger dollar, lower surcharges, and softening domestic and international yields.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Ross Stores (ROST -0.26%) were downgraded to &#8216;Neutral&#8217; from &#8216;Buy&#8217; at Goldman Sachs.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG -1.69%) fell nearly 4% in after-hours trading after it said it closed a store in Billerica, Massachusetts for cleaning after 4 workers at the store &#8220;were not feeling well.&#8221;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Aerovironment (AVAV -0.30%) climbed over 7% in after-hours trading after it raised guidance on yearly gross profit margin to between 38%-39.5%, up from a December forecast of 37%-37.5%.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Blue Buffalo Pet Products (BUFF -4.72%) surged over 10% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 16 cents, higher than consensus of 14 cents, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2016 adjusted EPS to 72 cents-74 cents, higher than consensus of 70 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> NCI Building Systems (NCS -3.45%) rose over 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 7 cents, well above consensus of 2 cents, as Q1 sales rose to $370 million, above consensus of $363.8 million.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Amplify Snack Brands (BETR -1.60%) jumped over 9% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 13 cents, higher than consensus of 9 cents and then raised guidance on 2016 adjusted EPS to 61 cents-64 cents, above consensus of 57 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Zagg Inc. (ZAGG -1.42%) slumped over 10% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 GAAP EPS of 18 cents, weaker than consensus of 24 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Cerus Corp. (CERS -5.51%) slid over 5% in after-hours trading after it said it sees 2016 global revenue of $37 million-$40 million, below consensus of $44.5 million.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Earnings and Economic Numbers<\/strong> from seekingalpha.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today&#8217;s Economic Calendar<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 7:00 MBA Mortgage Applications<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 Wholesale Trade<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 1:00 PM Results of $20B, 10-Year Note Auction<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Today&#8217;s Earnings <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/earnings\/upcoming\">here<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/economic\/2016\/03\/07-11\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/economic\/2016\/03\/07-11\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Wednesday. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mixed. Singapore moved up 1.1%; Australia and India also did well. China dropped 1.3%. Europe is currently mostly up. Germany, France, the Netherlands, Spain, Italy, Belgium and Portugal are up more than 1%; London, Austria, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey and Finland are also doing well. Greece is down [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9527"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9527"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9527\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9527"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9527"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9527"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}