{"id":9615,"date":"2016-04-18T07:59:05","date_gmt":"2016-04-18T12:59:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=9615"},"modified":"2016-04-18T07:59:05","modified_gmt":"2016-04-18T12:59:05","slug":"before-the-open-apr-18-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=9615","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Apr 18)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Monday. Hope you had a good weekend. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly down. Japan dropped 3.4%, and China fell 1.4%. Hong Kong and Malaysia were also weak. India and Indonesia did well. Europe is currently mostly down, but losses aren&#8217;t very big. Belgium, Russia and Portugal are down more than 1%; Norway and Spain are also weak. Turkey is doing well. Futures here in the States point towards a moderate gap down open for the cash market. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><!--more--><strong>&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<\/strong><br \/>\n<a style=\"font-weight: bold; font-size: medium;\" href=\"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/pdfs\/LB%20weekly%2020160417.pdf\">LB Weekly<\/a> &#8211; the indexes, the breadth indicators, a look at the big picture<br \/>\n<strong> &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The dollar is down a small amount. Oil and copper are down. Gold is up, silver is down. Bonds are up. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The big news over the weekend was the failure of OPEC and non-OPEC members to agree to freeze oil production at the January levels. Iran didn&#8217;t even bother showing up at the gathering in Doha, which really pissed off Saudi Arabia. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> With production levels already super high and storage capacity already tapped out, oil dropped as much as $2.75 overnight, but is not only down $1.75.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The news gives us a great benchmark to observe the movement of oil from. This is worst possible news (although not surprising), so if oil is able to brush it off and not fall too much over the next couple trading days, it&#8217;ll lend even more evidence a bottom is in place and the intermediate term uptrend is in tact. Firming and moving up would be a very positive sign. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> But if a lot of damage is suffered the next couple days, it doesn&#8217;t mean the oil uptrend is over, but it will mean we&#8217;ll need to sit back, let the charts reset and then re-evaluate at a later date. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Huge, market-moving news items are good because they give us a benchmark to gauge future movement by. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> I personally would not be surprised if oil didn&#8217;t suffer much. If if countries agree to limit production, many of them would have violated the agreement&#8230;and Wall St. knows that. An agreement would have been in spirit only and would not have been adhered to or enforced. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Let&#8217;s see what happens. More after the open.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> ConocoPhillips (COP -1.18%) and Chevron (CVX -0.77%) are both down over 2% in pre-market trading as crude oil fell to a 1-week low after oil output talks between OPEC and non-OPEC members ended without a deal on freezing crude production.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Union Pacific (UNP -1.35%) was downgraded to &#8216;Neutral&#8217; from &#8216;Buy&#8217; at UBS&gt;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Edison International (EIX +1.46%) and Exelon (EXC -1.63%) were both downgraded to &#8216;Hold&#8217; from &#8216;Buy&#8217; at Deutsche Bank.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Broadcom Ltd. (AVGO -2.10%) was rated a new &#8216;Outperform&#8217; at Cowen with a price target of $190.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Apple (AAPL -2.01%) and Verizon Communications (VZ -0.02%) were both upgraded to &#8216;Buy&#8217; from &#8216;Hold&#8217; at Erste Group.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> NetApp (NTAP -2.03%) was downgraded to &#8216;Underperform&#8217; from &#8216;Neutral&#8217; at Sterne Agee CRT.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Disney (DIS -0.04%) was upgraded to &#8216;Buy&#8217; from &#8216;Hold&#8217; at Pivotal Research Group LLC with a 12-month price target of $121.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Chemical Financial (CHFC +0.46%) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 65 cents, higher than consensus of 63 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Autoliv (ALV -0.57%) was downgraded to &#8216;Sell&#8217; from &#8216;Neutral&#8217; at Goldman Sachs.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Groupon (GRPN +3.85%) gained over 1% in after-hours trading after New Enterprise Associates reported a 7.7% stake in the company.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Autohome (ATHM +6.60%) fell over 1% in after-hours trading after it received a non-binding proposal from a consortium for $31.50\/ADS, below Friday&#8217;s closing price of $32.15.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Calumet Specialty Products (CLMT -7.39%) dropped nearly 3% in after-hours trading after it said it sees a Q1 net loss of $59 million-$83 million.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Zoe&#8217;s Kitchen (ZOES +2.21%) rose over 1% in after-hours trading after the company dismissed PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP and appointed Deloitte &amp; Touche LLP as its accountant.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Today&#8217;s Economic Calendar<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Fed&#8217;s Williams speech<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 NAHB Housing Market Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 7:00 PM Fed&#8217;s Rosengren speech<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Today&#8217;s Earnings <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/earnings\/upcoming\">here<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/earnings\/2016\/04\/18-22\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/economic\/2016\/04\/18-22\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Monday. Hope you had a good weekend. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly down. Japan dropped 3.4%, and China fell 1.4%. Hong Kong and Malaysia were also weak. India and Indonesia did well. Europe is currently mostly down, but losses aren&#8217;t very big. Belgium, Russia and Portugal are down more than 1%; Norway [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9615"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9615"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9615\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9615"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9615"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9615"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}