{"id":9625,"date":"2016-04-21T07:43:08","date_gmt":"2016-04-21T12:43:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=9625"},"modified":"2016-04-21T07:43:08","modified_gmt":"2016-04-21T12:43:08","slug":"before-the-open-apr-21-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=9625","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Apr 21)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Thursday.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The <strong>Asian\/Pacific<\/strong> markets closed mostly up. Japan moved up 2.7%; Hong Kong and Australia did better than 1%. Indonesia, Malaysia, South Korea and Taiwan also did well. <strong>Europe<\/strong> is currently mostly down. Greece and Finland are down more than 1%; London Germany, France, the Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland, Russia and Belgium are also weak. Norway is doing well. Futures here in the <strong>States<\/strong> point towards a flat open for the cash market. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><!--more-->&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<br \/>\n<strong> List of Indexes and ETFs &#8211; <\/strong><a style=\"font-weight: bold; font-size: medium;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leavittbrothers.com\/etf\/\"> here<\/a><br \/>\n&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The dollar is down. Oil is up slightly; copper is up. Gold and silver are up. Bonds are down. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The market just keeps on keepin&#8217; on. The buying isn&#8217;t forceful. It&#8217;s not conclusive. But 6 out of 7 up days have put the S&amp;P up another 50 points, and for the second straight day, the index has closed above 2100 &#8211; less than 30 points from its all-time high.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> This has become a very hated rally. Nobody wants to buy it, and the bears keep getting frustrated and burned with their attempts to pick a top. I&#8217;ll admit the current situation is hard to buy, but we&#8217;ve had very easy and obvious trades the last two months. Easy and obvious = market trend up and obvious leading groups to play. Commodities have done great. Oil, steel, nonferrous metals, gold, silver (and a few others) have out-performed by wide margins and given us many opportunities to nail some big returns. Trading is hard (and tiring) when you look at 1000 stocks and try to pull out a handful of winners. But if you narrow your search by recognizing what groups are leading, your research is more efficient, and your odds of winning significantly increase. There&#8217;s a bull market somewhere. One of your first steps should be finding that bull market. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Having said this, I&#8217;m long but not all in. Risk\/rewards up here aren&#8217;t great, so I&#8217;ve reduced my exposure. More after the open. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Newmont Mining (NEM -1.49%) rose nearly 3% in pre-market trading as copper rose to a 4-week high and after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 34 cents, higher than consensus of 18 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> American Express (AXP +2.28%) rose over 4% in pre-market trading after it reported Q1 EPS of $1.45, higher than consensus of $1.33.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Yum! Brands (YUM +0.49%) climbed nearly 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 95 cents, better than consensus of 83 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Qualcomm (QCOM +0.50%) slid over 3% in pre-market trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of $1.04, higher than consensus of 96 cents, but CEO Mollenkopf signaled that its largest customers may use secondary sources for chips for their smartphones going forward.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Las Vegas Sands (LVS -0.61%) lost 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 45 cents, well below consensus of 63 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> F5 Networks (FFIV +1.46%) gained over 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of $1.68, higher than consensus of $1.63, and then raised guidance on Q3 adjusted EPS to $1.77-$1.80, higher than consensus of $1.74.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Mattel (MAT -2.57%) dropped over 8% in pre-market trading after it reported a Q1 adjusted loss of -13 cents, a wider loss than consensus of -7 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Packaging Corp. of America (PKG -0.62%) gained 3% in after-hours trading it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $1.11, above consensus of $1.01.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> United Continental Holdings (UAL +0.95%) fell over 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $1.23, higher than consensus of $1.18, but said it sees Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile (PRASM) falling 6.5%-8.5%.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Kinder Morgan (KMI -0.84%) fell over 1% in pre-market trading after it reported Q1 revenue of $3.2 billion, less than consensus of $3.76 billion.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Citrix Systems (CTXS +0.47%) rose over 6% in after-hours trading after it raised its fiscal-year adjusted EPS estimate to $4.90-$5.00, well above consensus of $4.71.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Tractor Supply (TSCO +0.49%) climbed over 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 EPS of 50 cents, better than consensus of 46 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> United Rentals (URI -1.65%) slipped nearly 6% in after-hours trading after it lowered guidance on 2016 revenue to $5.6 billion-$5.8 billion from a January 27 estimate of $5.65 billion-$5.95 billion.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> <strong>Wednesday&#8217;s Key Earnings<\/strong><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Abbott (NYSE:ABT) +0.3% after topping expectations.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> American Express (NYSE:AXP) +4.1% AH on Q1 beat, reaffirming guidance.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO) -4.8% on weaker soda volumes.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> EMC Corp. (NYSE:EMC) +3% thanks to VMware tracking stock.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Kinder Morgan (NYSE:KMI) -3% AH as it cut 2016 spending.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Las Vegas Sands (NYSE:LVS) -6% AH after missing estimates.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) -8.8% AH as weak Barbie and forex impacts hit results.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Newmont Mining (NYSE:NEM) +2.8% AH topping the consensus outlook.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) -3.2% AH offering weak guidance.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> United Continental (NYSE:UAL) unmoved after a set of mixed results.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB) +2% posting in-line earnings.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM) +3.9% following a strong quarter.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> <strong>Today&#8217;s Economic Calendar<\/strong><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Initial Jobless Claims<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Philly Fed Business Outlook<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Chicago Fed National Activity Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:00 FHFA House Price Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:45 Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 Leading Indicators<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 4:30 Money Supply<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 4:30 Fed Balance Sheet<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Today&#8217;s Earnings <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/earnings\/upcoming\">here<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/earnings\/2016\/04\/18-22\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/economic\/2016\/04\/18-22\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Thursday. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed mostly up. Japan moved up 2.7%; Hong Kong and Australia did better than 1%. Indonesia, Malaysia, South Korea and Taiwan also did well. Europe is currently mostly down. Greece and Finland are down more than 1%; London Germany, France, the Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland, Russia and Belgium are [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9625"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9625"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9625\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9625"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9625"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9625"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}