{"id":9688,"date":"2016-05-18T07:51:38","date_gmt":"2016-05-18T12:51:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=9688"},"modified":"2016-05-18T07:51:38","modified_gmt":"2016-05-18T12:51:38","slug":"before-the-open-may-18-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=9688","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (May 18)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Wednesday.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The <strong>Asian\/Pacific<\/strong> markets closed with a lean to the downside. Hong Kong and China dropped more than 1%; Australia and South Korea were also weak. <strong>Europe<\/strong> currently leans to the downside. Hungary is down more than 1%; London, Austria, the Netherlands, Denmark and Belgium are also weak. Norway and Greece are doing well. Futures here in the <strong>States<\/strong> point towards a down open for the cash market. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><!--more--><strong><strong>&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<\/strong><br \/>\nI wrote an article for Top Shelf Traders emagazine. You can check it out <a style=\"font-weight: bold; font-size: medium;\" href=\"http:\/\/clicksecure.co\/?a=52&amp;c=3516&amp;s1=leav\">here<\/a>. I consider it very important. It&#8217;s at the heart of what I do.<br \/>\n<strong> &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<\/strong><\/strong><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><!--more-->The dollar is up. Oil is flat, copper is down. Gold and silver are down. Bonds are down. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The bulls have their backs against the wall again. Failure to rally much off support this week is a definite warning. I was hoping for a bounce that would shed some light on the internal strength\/weakness of the market, but all of Monday&#8217;s gains were given back yesterday. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> To add to the growing bearish tone, George Soros has reiterated his bearish stance&#8230;Stanley Drunkenmiller has joined the bearish parade&#8230;and now Goldman Sachs has downgraded its equity outlook to &#8220;neutral&#8221; over the next 12 months saying &#8220;Until we see sustained signals of growth recovery, we do not feel comfortable taking equity risk, particularly as valuations are near peak levels.&#8221; This is slightly reminiscent of their March 2000 call when they downgraded their equity exposure from 70% to 65% (or maybe it was from 65% to 60%), which essentially marked the market top. They have also upgraded commodities to &#8220;neutral&#8221; on a 3-month basis. Interesting considering commodities have been in huge uptrends. They&#8217;re a little late, don&#8217;t ya think?<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Being neutral over the next 12 months makes sense to me. I actually think the market will be flat for much longer than that (I wouldn&#8217;t be surprised if it traded in a huge range for many years). But even if the market is unchanged a year from now, there could be 10-20% swings along the way. There will be many opportunities to track the flow of money around the market and make money, even if the indexes don&#8217;t do much. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Key time right now. The bulls need to hold tight, or the floor may be pulled out. More after the open. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Scripps Networks Interactive (SNI +0.36%) was downgraded to &#8216;Sell&#8217; from &#8216;Neutral&#8217; at Citigroup with a price target of $62.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Lowe&#8217;s (LOW -1.21%) rose 3% in pre-market trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 87 cents, higher than consensus of 85 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Tesla (TSLA -1.74%) gained 3% in pre-market trading after it was upgraded to &#8216;Buy&#8217; from &#8216;Neutral&#8217; at Goldman Sachs.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Host Hotels &amp; Resorts (HST -0.90%) was upgraded to &#8216;Market Perform&#8217; from &#8216;Underperform&#8217; at Raymond James.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Children&#8217;s Place (PLCE +4.13%) was upgraded to &#8216;Buy&#8217; from &#8216;Neutral&#8217; at Goldman Sachs with a price target of $74.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Brocade Communications Systems (BRCD +0.25%) was rated a new &#8216;Buy&#8217; at Bank of America Merrill Lynch with a price target of $10.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX +7.50%) said it is exploring the sale of some of its cosmetic and pharmaceutical assets to reduce some of its debt.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Acxion (ACXM -1.93%) dropped over 6% in after-hours trading after it lowered guidance on fiscal 2017 adjusted EPS to 55 cents to slightly higher, below consensus of 65 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Dynagas LNG Partners (DLNG +0.38%) reported Q1 adjusted EPS\/unit 48 cents, higher than consensus of 45 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Allegheny Technologies (ATI unch) fell over 1% in after-hours trading after it announced plans for a convertible offering of senior notes.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Vipshop Holdings Ltd. (VIPS -1.05%) slumped nearly 10% in after-hours trading after it said its sees Q2 revenue of 12.3 billion yuan-12.8 billion yuan, below consensus of 12.81 billion yuan.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Andersons Inc. (ANDE -2.22%) surged nearly 20% in after-hours trading after HC2 Holdings offered to acquire the company for $37 a share, well above Tuesday&#8217;s closing price of $25.94.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> <strong>Tuesday&#8217;s Key Earnings<\/strong><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Home Depot (NYSE:HD) -2.5% despite beating expectations.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX) +0.5% after defying a retail slump.<\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> <strong>Today&#8217;s Economic Calendar<\/strong><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 7:00 MBA Mortgage Applications<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 Atlanta Fed&#8217;s Business Inflation Expectations<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 11:00 EIA Petroleum Inventories<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 2:00 PM FOMC minutes<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Today&#8217;s Earnings <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/earnings\/upcoming\">here<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/earnings\/2016\/05\/16-20\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/economic\/2016\/05\/16-20\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Wednesday. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed with a lean to the downside. Hong Kong and China dropped more than 1%; Australia and South Korea were also weak. Europe currently leans to the downside. Hungary is down more than 1%; London, Austria, the Netherlands, Denmark and Belgium are also weak. Norway and Greece are [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9688"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9688"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9688\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9688"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9688"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9688"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}