{"id":9723,"date":"2016-06-03T07:50:49","date_gmt":"2016-06-03T12:50:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/leavittbrothers.com\/blog\/?p=9723"},"modified":"2016-06-03T07:50:49","modified_gmt":"2016-06-03T12:50:49","slug":"before-the-open-jun-3-6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/?p=9723","title":{"rendered":"Before the Open (Jun 3)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Good morning. Happy Friday (is it Friday already)? Happy employment numbers day. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The <strong>Asian\/Pacific<\/strong> markets closed up across-the-board. Australia led with a 0.7% gain; Japan, Hong Kong, China, Singapore and Indonesia also did well. <strong>Europe<\/strong> is currently mostly up. London, Greece, Poland, Turkey and Finland are up more than 1%; Germany, France and the Netherlands are also doing well. Prior to the release of the employment numbers, futures here in the <strong>States<\/strong> were flat. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><!--more-->&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<br \/>\n<strong>Join our <a style=\"font-weight: bold; font-size: medium;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.leavittbrothers.com\/email-subscribe.cfm\">email list<\/a> &#8211; get technical research reports sent directly to you.<\/strong><br \/>\n&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">The dollar is flat. Oil is down a small amount; copper is up. Gold and silver are up small amounts. Bonds are up. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> <strong>Here are the employment numbers\u2026<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> unemployment rate: 4.7% (was 5.0% last month) (664K people left the job force)<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> nonfarm payrolls: +38K (smallest since 2010)<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> private payrolls:<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> average workweek: flat at 34.4 hours<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> hourly wages: up 5 cents to $25.59<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> labor participation rate: 62.6%<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> April job gain reduced from 160K to 123K.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> March job gain cut from 208K to 186K.<\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The headline number (unemployment rate drops to 4.7%) looks great but is due to 664K people leaving the job force. Looking closer the numbers are not good. This lowers the probability the Fed will raise rates in two weeks. On the news, index futures dropped (S&amp;P went from flat to being down 8). The dollar immediately fell an entire buck. Gold and silver jumped, but oil rallied and then gave everything back. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Once things settle down after today&#8217;s open, we&#8217;ll get two weeks of nonstop Fed talk. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The S&amp;P is within 35 points of its all-time high (ALL-TIME), and there are many who don&#8217;t think the market can absorb a slightly higher rate. Actually, when considering dividends, the S&amp;P is ready at an all-time high. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> But what do I know? The Fed is permanently &#8220;accomodative. It&#8217;s more important to keep the stock market propped up than to allow savers to earn a little interest on the money they have in the bank. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> My bias remains to the upside, but I&#8217;m not exactly thrilled about the prospects of having two weeks of slow action leading up to the FOMC meeting. More after the open. <\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Stock headlines<\/strong> from barchart.com&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Monsanto (MON -0.56%) climbed nearly 1% in pre-market trading after people familiar with the matter said Bayer AG has secured about $63 billion in financing from five banks for its proposed acquistion of the company.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Rambus (RMBS -0.08%) was rated a new &#8216;Buy&#8217; at Wunderlich with a 12-month price target of $15.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> WebMD Health Corp. (WBMD -0.30%) was downgraded to &#8216;Market Perform&#8217; from &#8216;Outperform&#8217; at William Blai &amp; Co.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Cooper Cos. (COO +1.08%) gained almost 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of $2.05, better than consensus of $1.92, and then rasied guidance on fiscal 2016 adjusted EPS to $8.20-$$8.50 from a prior view of $8.00-$8.30.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Five Below (FIVE +0.40%) rose +0.5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 12 cents, higher than consensus of 10 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Zumiez (ZUMZ +2.03%) slumped 9% in after-hours trading after it said May comparable same store sales were down -7.6% y\/y, a bigger decline than estimates of -6.4% y\/y, and then forecast a Q2 EPS loss of -9 cents to -13 cents, much weaker than consensus of a 5 cent gain.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> The Gap (GPS +2.57%) climbed almost 5% in after-hours trading after it reported May comparable same store sales were down -6% y\/y, better than estimates of -8% y\/y.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Broadcom Ltd. (AVGO +0.09%) rose over 6% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS continuing operations of $2.53, higher than consensus of $2.38.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> China Biologic Products (CBPO -2.50%) fell over 2% in after-hours trading after it announced a secondary offering of 2.8 million shares of common stock.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Yelp Inc. (YELP +1.26%) was rated a new &#8216;Buy&#8217; at Maxim Group with a 12-month price target of $41.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Ambarella (AMBA +2.26%) jumped nearly 10% in pre-market trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 34 cents, better than consensus of 28 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Bazaarvoice (BV +2.10%) rallied 9% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q4 adjusted loss of -1 cent, a smaller loss than consensus of -4 cents.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> <strong>Thursday&#8217;s Key Earnings<\/strong><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Ambarella (NASDAQ:AMBA) +9.5% AH beating estimates, unveiling buyback.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) +7.2% AH lifted by margin strength, cost controls.<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> Joy Global (NYSE:JOY) +22% following a big earnings surprise.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> <strong>Today&#8217;s Economic Calendar<\/strong><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 3:45 Fed&#8217;s Evans: U.S. Economic and Monetary Policy<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 Non-farm payrolls<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 8:30 International Trade<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 9:45 PMI Services Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 Factory Orders<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 10:00 ISM Non-Manufacturing Index<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 12:30 PM Fed&#8217;s Bralnard: U.S. Economic and Monetary Policy<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"> 1:00 PM Baker-Hughes Rig Count<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Today&#8217;s Earnings <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/earnings\/upcoming\">here<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong>Other<\/strong>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">today&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/upgrades-downgrades\/\">upgrades\/downgrades<\/a> from briefing.com<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/earnings\/2016\/05\/31-3\/\">Earnings<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium;\">this week&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.briefing.com\/investor\/calendars\/economic\/2016\/05\/30-03\">Economic Numbers<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Good morning. Happy Friday (is it Friday already)? Happy employment numbers day. The Asian\/Pacific markets closed up across-the-board. Australia led with a 0.7% gain; Japan, Hong Kong, China, Singapore and Indonesia also did well. Europe is currently mostly up. London, Greece, Poland, Turkey and Finland are up more than 1%; Germany, France and the Netherlands [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9723"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9723"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9723\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9723"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9723"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.leavittbrothers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9723"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}