Before the Open (Nov 23)

Good morning. Happy Wednesday.
The Asian/Pacific markets closed mostly up. Australia moved up 1.3%; New Zealand, Singapore and Taiwan also did well. Europe leans to the downside. Italy is down 1%; Germany, France, Turkey, Denmark and Switzerland are also down. Russia is up. Futures in the States point towards a flat open for the cash market.
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List of Indexes and ETFs – here
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The dollar is up. Oil and copper are down. Gold and silver are down. Bonds are down.
Except for the Nas, we got across-the-board all-time highs yesterday.
The Russell 2000 has moved up 13 straight days. This ties it with the third longest win streak in history.
Obviously this is unsustainable, but bodes well for the rest of the year. A pullback or pause will most likely get bought again.
Within a downtrend, many consecutive days would tell us a reversal is probably near. But within an uptrend, many consecutive up days tell us the market is strong and likely to continue up. Yes, strong markets and weak markets are not the equal and opposite.
Tomorrow is Thanksgiving. Today will be slow and quiet, but FOMC minutes get released – this may keep traders at their desks into the afternoon. But with the expectation of a rate hike in December being very high, there isn’t much that can rock the market in a negative way.
Stock headlines from barchart.com…
Eli Lilly (LLY -0.85%) slumped 12% in pre-market trading after its solanezumab drug did not meet the primary endpoint in a Phase 3 study in people with mild dementia due to Alzheimer’s disease.
Deere & Co (DE -0.31%) climbed nearly 3% in pre-market trading after it reported Q4 EPS of 90 cents, well above consensus of 39 cents, and then raised its full-year EPS view to $4.43 from a prior view of $3.84.
Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH -3.48%) was downgraded to ‘Market Perform’ from ‘Outperform’ at William Blair.
McKesson Corp (MCK -0.01%) was downgraded to ‘Underperform’ from ‘Neutral’ at Credit Suisse with a price target of $131.
GameStop (GME +2.77%) lost almost 1% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 revenue of $1.96 billion, less than consensus of $1.99 billion.
Carnival (CCL +0.99%) was upgraded to ‘Outperform’ from ‘Market Perform’ at Bernstein with a 12-month target price of $63.
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd (NCLH +1.67%) was downgraded to ‘Market Perform’ from ‘Outperform’ at Bernstein.
HP Inc. (HPQ -0.31%) fell over 2% in after-hours trading after it said it sees Q1 adjusted EPS of 35 cents-38 cents, below consensus of 38 cents.
Urban Outfitters (URBN +4.95%) dropped 8% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of 40 cents, weaker than consensus of 44 cents.
Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE -1.08%) slipped over 1% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 net revenue of $12.5 billion, below consensus of $12.8 billion.
Veeva Systems (VEEV -0.50%) rose over 5% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 22 cents, above consensus of 16 cents, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2017 adjusted EPS to 68 cents from an August 30 view of 60 cents-61 cents.
Nimble Storage (NMBL +1.65%) tumbled 8% in after-hours trading after it said it sees a Q4 adjusted loss per share of 013 cents to -15 cents, a wider loss than consensus of -12 cents.
Announcements and such here
Today’s Earnings here
Tuesday’s Key Earnings
Barnes & Noble (NYSE:BKS) +10.5% posting big cost savings.
Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR) +8.2% improving margins in Q3.
GameStop (NYSE:GME) +4.3% AH despite a weak holiday forecast.
Hewlett Packard Enterprise (NYSE:HPE) -1.8% AH on lower revenues.
HP (NYSE:HPQ) -2.3% AH on cautious earnings guidance.
Medtronic (NYSE:MDT) -8.7% cutting its full-year outlook.
Seadrill (NYSE:SDRL) +1.6% after beating expectations.
Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ:URBN) -10% AH after missing estimates.

Today’s Economic Calendar
7:00 MBA Mortgage Applications
8:30 Durable Goods
8:30 Initial Jobless Claims
9:00 FHFA House Price Index
9:45 PMI Manufacturing Index Flash
9:45 Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index
10:00 New Home Sales
10:00 Consumer Sentiment
10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories
12:00 PM EIA Natural Gas Inventory
1:00 PM Results of $28B, 7-Year Note Auction
2:00 PM FOMC minutes

Other
today’s upgrades/downgrades from briefing.com
this week’s Earnings
this week’s Economic Numbers

5 thoughts on “Before the Open (Nov 23)

  1. America loves hype.
    And after we find Trump is locked into a bureaucracy the market will calm down.
    Now, check your trades.
    Did day-trading work for you/
    Do you believe buy and hold were dead?
    Did your stock broker make more than you?
    Now, I would suggest you take all the losses you can in 2016.
    Cause the tax breaks on your profits will be less in 2017.
    Ask your accountant or broker, but do it quick
    pairsandspreadtrading.com

  2. 10y yield jumped by almost exactly a full point from early july to yesterday (up again today), from 1.37 percent to 2.31 percent. 44 basis points of that jump was in real rates (TIPS yields) while 50 basis point jump is attributable to inflation expectations. yields were creeping up before the election, but the trend accelerated after the election.

  3. DX is gaining momentum above the 100 resistance, making it look like the year-long consolidation is over and dollar is just beginning a strong rally that will eventually take it up to 120 or even higher. a bit more separation from 100, testing the broken resistance level successfully, and making it support will confirm the new trend.

  4. i dont believe the bull or bear side
    and for me intraday snipper action is still the best
    dax and nas100 weak so far today
    its still a debt problem world wide
    japan and europe history
    strong dollar and yeild means usa has to
    devaluve by 50 %
    default on its trillions debt–bankrupt the fed
    nationalize and takeover usa pension funds and 401k ‘s

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