Good morning. Happy Wednesday.
The Asian/Pacific markets closed mixed. New Zealand, Australia, Indonesia, Singapore and the Philippines closed up while China, South Korea and India closed down. Europe, Africa and the Middle East are currently mostly up. The UK, Denmark, France, Germany, the UAE, Greece, Hungary, Spain and Saudi Arabia are doing well; Turkey is down. Futures in the States point towards a down open for the cash market.
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The dollar is flat. Oil and copper are down. Gold and silver are up. Bonds are up.
Stories/News from Seeking Alpha…
Markets are getting some more relief as the PBOC set its official midpoint reference for the yuan at 6.9996 on Wednesday, weaker than the 6.9683 set Tuesday but still stronger than the key 7 per dollar level. Dow and S&P 500 futures are up 0.4% on the news, while the Nasdaq points to a rise of 0.7%, as President Trump further dismissed fears of a protracted trade war with China. A downbeat session was seen in Asia overnight, although European gains were led by Germany, where the DAX climbed 1.5% boosted by a $3.9B chemical deal from Bayer (OTCPK:BAYRY) and Lanxess (OTCPK:LNXSF).
Trade, currency… is energy war next?
China is expected to start avoiding U.S. crude oil imports as trade tensions ratchet up, according to traders and analysts, ensnaring a key commodity that has largely escaped the tit-for-tat trade war. The U.S. surpassed Saudi Arabia and Russia to take the top energy producer spot last year, while Beijing became the world’s largest oil buyer in 2017. Tariffs have already seen the U.S. collect $63B from China in the 12 months through June, according to new U.S. Treasury data, and that bounty is set to rise.
Short-term pain for Disney?
Walt Disney (NYSE:DIS) shares dropped as much as 5.8% after heavily missing expectations with fiscal Q3 earnings despite revenues that grew by a third (including Hulu and Fox). Shares then pared some losses during a conference call with CEO Bob Iger. He nodded to the heavy investment going into the Mouse House’s nascent direct-to-consumer business, but said that a three-service bundle of Disney Plus, ESPN Plus and Hulu would come at $12.99/month, notably undercutting Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) pricing.
Rate cuts back in style
New Zealand’s central bank is the latest to reduce interest rates as the country faces sluggish growth conditions due to simmering trade tensions and a global economic slowdown. A 50 basis point cut to 1.50% caught markets off guard, prompting the Kiwi to plunge as much as 2.1% against the U.S. dollar, its lowest level since January 2016. More easing? The Reserve Bank of India also cut interest rates overnight for a fourth straight meeting, reducing its repo rate by 35 basis points to 5.40%.
‘Refusing to negotiate’
The Brexit political standoff is deepening less than three months before the U.K. is due to leave the European Union. Michael Gove, the minister in charge of planning for a no-deal departure, is blaming the bloc for “refusing to negotiate and failing to engage on a new agreement.” It comes after the EU said British demands to remove the Irish backstop from Theresa May’s deal were unacceptable.
More store closing for Walgreens
As part of a wide-ranging cost management program it undertook late last year, Walgreens (NASDAQ:WBA) plans to close 200 U.S. stores and record $1.9B-$2.4B in related pre-tax charges. It follows a disclosure by the drugstore chain in May that it would shutter 200 stores in the U.K. Walgreens expects minimal disruption to customers and patients due to the closings, but anticipates annual cost savings of at least $1.5B by 2022.
C919 certification target
Commercial Aircraft Corp of China now expects to obtain Chinese certification for its C919 jet in 2021. It originally aimed to obtain the approval by the end of 2020, but analysts had considered the target ambitious given the test planes have flown relatively few hours since the first C919 flew in 2017. China’s first national passenger jet aims to challenge the dominance of Boeing’s (NYSE:BA) 737 and Airbus’s (OTCPK:EADSY) A320, bringing the Asian nation a step closer to its goal of becoming a global civil aerospace player.
What else is happening…
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) scrutinized over Model 3 safety claims.
Click injection fraud prompts Facebook to (NASDAQ:FB) sue developers.
AT&T (NYSE:T) workers were bribed to unlock 2M phones, install malware.
Latest data sharing snafu at Twitter (NYSE:TWTR).
Viacom (NASDAQ:VIA) adds Garfield to Nickelodeon portfolio.
DuPont (NYSE:DD) weighs potential $20B sale of biosciences unit.
Occidental (NYSE:OXY) sells $13B of debt to fund Anadarko (NYSE:APC) deal.
Tuesday’s Key Earnings
Allergan (NYSE:AGN) -0.7% despite Q2 beat, guidance boost.
Bausch Health (NYSE:BHC) -3.2% missing EPS forecasts.
Chesapeake Energy (NYSE:CHK) -10.9% on wider Q2 loss.
Disney (DIS) -3.3% AH as Q3 growth fell short.
Devon Energy (NYSE:DVN) +0.3% AH raising production view.
Duke Energy (NYSE:DUK) +2.3% on higher base rates.
Regeneron Pharma (NASDAQ:REGN) +0.2% beating Q2 consensus.
Today’s Economic Calendar
7:00 MBA Mortgage Applications
9:30 Fed’s Evans Speech
10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories
1:00 PM Results of $27B, 10-Year Note Auction
3:00 PM Consumer Credit
One thought on “Before the Open (Aug 7)”
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I got buy signals… It does not feel right. In but not all in. I have gone back and read my journals about when this has happened before.. My gut is 50 50.