Good morning. Happy Friday.
The Asian/Pacific markets closed mixed. Australia and New Zealand dropped more than 1%; China, Indonesia and Japan did well. Europe is trading mixed; there are no standout winners or losers. Futures here in the States point towards a moderate gap down open for the cash market.
The dollar is down slightly. Oil is down, copper up. Gold is up slightly, silver down.
Barring a big rally today, the S&P’s 4 week winning streak will come to an end. The last time the market put in back to back down weeks was the end of November, so we’ll look for that next week to see if the character of the market is changing..
From here, my guess is we have more downside, but the weakness will be a trap. The bears will get excited again (are there any bears left), and then out of nowhere the market will go vertical and make new highs.
I’d invite this too. An up and down market is easier to trade than a straight up market. When the market just goes up and up, everything rallies, but when you get ups and downs, the strong separate from the weak, and from a stock picking standpoint, I find this easier to deal with.
It’s Friday. We have a 3-day weekend ahead. Considering the circumstances, this isn’t a time to take big chances. Manage positions wisely.
Stock-specific stories from barchart.com…
Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF +0.48%) reported a Q1 EPS loss of -9 cents, weaker than consensus of a -5 cent loss, and lowered guidance on fiscal 2013 to EPS of $3.15-$3.25, lower than consensus of $3.49.
Foot Locker (FL -0.42%) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 91 cents, better than consensus of 88 cents.
Sherwin-Williams (SHW -0.56%) was upgraded to “Outperform” from “Neutral” at RW Baird who rasied their price target on the stock to $205 from $180.
Procter & Gamble (PG -0.15%) was upgraded to “Buy” from “Neutral” at UBS who raised their price target on the stock to $95 from $75.
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG +1.74%) climbed 5% in after-hours trading after Bloomberg reported that it won a jury verdict in a trial that alleged the company was negligent in training a doctor who performed robot-assisted surgery on a patient that died.
The WSJ said that AT&T’s (T +0.33%) new 61 cent per month administrative fee to the bills of all of its contract wireless lines may add a half-billion dollars in yearly revenue.
Bunge (BG -0.88%) raised its quarterly dividend to 30 cents from 27 cents per share.
Sears Holdings (SHLD -0.34%) slumped over 11% in after-hours trading after it reported a Q1 adjusted EPS loss of -$1.29, much wider than consensus of a -60 cent losss, and said Q1 same-store-sales were down -3.6%.
Williams-Sonoma (WSM +3.03%) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 41 cents, better than consensus of 37 cents, and raised guidance on fiscal 2013 adjusted EPS to $2.67-$2.77 from $2.65-$2.75.
Marvell (MRVL -0.44%) climbed over 7% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 EPS of 19 cents, stronger than consensus of 14 cents.
Salesforce.com (CRM -0.20%) reported Q1 EPS of 10 cents, right on consensus, although Q1 revenue of $893 million was better than consensus of $887.08 million.
Aeropostale (ARO -1.02%) reported a Q1 EPS loss of -16 cents, smaller than consensus of a -17 cent loss, with Q1 revenue of $452.3 million, better than consensus of $444.26 million.
Ross Stores (ROST -0.18%) reported Q1 EPS of $1.07, right on consensus, although Q1 revenue of $2.54 billion was slightly better than consensus of $2.52 billion.
Gap (GPS +0.78%) reported Q1 EPS of 71 cents, better than consensus of 69 cents.
headlines at Yahoo Finance
headlines at MarketWatch
today’s upgrades/downgrades
this week’s Earnings
this week’s Economic Numbers
0 thoughts on “Before the Open (May 24)”
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Between now and Oct the following lows will probability (75% level of confidence) be realized.
NYSA 8584
Dow 13691
Nas 3111
S&P 1470.
12-13% corrections(petty modest by historical standards).
These merely the low bound of the trading ranges of these indices. With some news it could be lower. But my point: There is little doubt of the seasonality and the upper bound of the range being realized. The next thing is to protect investments, (hedges or shorts), and live it out. There never is a straight line descent as we all know. In Oct long positions will be in order in all probability based and reaching the lower bound and seasonality. Cash and bonds (short term), and shorts are possible choices.
I am going sailing. See you in the fall.
Sounds like fun. I’m at Manuel Antonio National Park this weekend. 🙂
It is May walk away.
gee aint there any short sellers out there
bears make more money short/faster than those decedent fat bulls
but this market ,trend,seasonallity is synthetic central market based and not to be trusted in either direction
there has not been a market like this in the last 100 years
forget fundermentals,/t/a sometimes,its a currency war based on yeild
did anyone see the wild swings in the japan 225 niki today
1500 point swings–it was great
real crashes come when soverigns get squezed and some big bank gamblers will fail
atm insto gamblers are short having taken out retailer short stops a few days back
the carry trade the real driver of trend is having some hick ups
short yen /long equities –we all know the commodity blips
and the euro is having probs
forget old habits look for new ones
markets change
but this is just a topping pattern –the real crash comes later