Before the Open (July 5)

Good morning. Happy Friday. Happy Employment Numbers Day. Hope you enjoyed your day off.
The Asian/Pacific markets closed up across-the-board. Japan rallied 2.1%, Australia, Hong Kong and Taiwan rallied more than 1%. Europe is currently mostly up, but only Greece (up 2.5%) is up noticeably. Futures here in the States point towards a relatively big gap up for the cash market.

The dollar is up. Oil is up, copper down. Gold and silver are down.
Prior to the employment numbers release, the S&P futures were up about 12 points.
Here are the employment numbers
unemployment rate: 7.6% (was 7.6% last month)
nonfarm payrolls: +195K
private payrolls:
average workweek: 34.5 (unchanged)
hourly wages: up 0.4$ to $24.01

April job gain raised from 149K to 199K.
May job gain raised from 175K to 195K.

After the numbers were released, futures jumped a couple points.
Heading into this week I was straddling the fence and open to a move in either direction. Now I lean a little to the upside, but overall think the odds of a summer range are growing. Rallies will continue to get sold, dips will continue to get bought. Two months from now everyone except short term traders who take profits sooner rather than later will be frustrated.
That’s it for now. Today will be dead. I’m ducking out early.
Here are stock-specific stories from barchart.com…
Alcoa (AA -0.76%) was downgraded to “Neutral” from “Overweight” at JPMorgan.
Overstock.com (OSTK -0.37%) was downgraded to “Underperform” from “Buy” at BofA/Merrill.
Comerica (CMA +1.24%) was upgraded to “Neutral” from “Sell” at Citigroup.
In a post on the Treasury’s website, the Obama administration is announcing that it will provide an additional year before the Affordable Care Act mandatory employer and insurer reporting requirements begin.
Boeing (BA -1.71%) was awarded a $109.46 million government contract modification in support of the Royal Saudi Land Force Aviation Command in Saudi Arabia.
Lockheed Martin (LMT -1.54%) was awarded a $308.32 million government contract modification for the procurement of tactical missiles and launcher modification kits in support of Kuwait.
Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services lowered its long-term counterparty credit ratings on Barclays (BCS -1.33%) , Credit Suisse (CS -1.25%) , and Deutsche Bank (DB -2.02%) to ‘A’ from ‘A+ on its opinion of the increasing risks that Europe’s large banking groups active in investment banking face as regulators and uncertain market conditions continue to make operating in the industry more difficult.
Bloomberg reported that Apple (AAPL +2.27%) is near a deal with Time Warner Cable (TWC -1.33%) that would give Time Warner subscribers access to channels via Apple TV.
Hasbro (HAS +0.39%) and Electronic Arts (EA +1.47%) announced a new agreement under which EA will develop several of Hasbro’s best-selling gaming brands for mobile platforms globally.
this week’s Earnings
this week’s Economic Numbers
today’s upgrades/downgrades

0 thoughts on “Before the Open (July 5)

  1. The numbers are a surprise (suspicious in fact) and the market will leap today, but in the longer run bonds may keep a lid on the markets (rates up: 3.5 to 4.0) – if the Fed relaxs its QE due to “recovery”. I will keep an index hedge in a few ETFs, Technology, Finance, Health care and the SPY. But it is still summer and Sept is the date to watch for the return of the herd.
    Time for some individual plays such as Jason offers. Maybe some crowding into equities to best the last Q4 for a higher EOY

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