Before the Open (Sep 15)

Good morning. Happy Monday. Hope you had a good weekend.
The Asian/Pacific markets closed mostly down. Hong Kong, Singapore, Australia and India each dropped around 1%. Europe is currently mostly down. Greece is down 0.9%, followed by Italy (down 0.9%), Prague and Russia (down 0.7% each) and Austria (down 0.5%). Futures here in the States point towards a down open for the cash market.

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The dollar is up. Oil is down, copper is down. Gold is up, silver down.
We enter this new week with the market having taken a turn down last week. The S&P’s 4-week winning streak ended, and the Russell dropped for the second straight week. The bulls have no wiggle room here. After trading range-bound for almost three weeks, the lows were taken out, and now there’s a pattern of lower highs and lower lows going back about 7 days.
Besides the indexes trading near 3-week lows, many indicators have turned down. If you remember, some supported more upside while others lagged and hinted at internal deterioration. But now, several of the supporting indicators have also weakened to the point of no longer being considered “cycling within an uptrend.” Odds now favor a move down. This doesn’t mean the long term uptrend is over, it just means the near term has shifted from “consolidation” to “downtrend.”
There are some major events this week. Alibaba will go public. It’ll do well, but the offering will siphon money from the rest of Wall St. Also, major events like this have acted as turning points for the market. There’s a Fed meeting this week. Some are expecting the Fed to change their language regarding when interest rates will start to move up. Also, Scotland votes on their independence. I have no idea what this means for the market, but it is a pretty major event, and since the world is very connected, you never know what the domino effect will be.
If you’re not interested in going short (or buying an inverse ETF), protect what you have. More after the open.
Stock headlines from barchart.com…
Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH -0.62%) will acquire Trizetto for $2.7 billion in cash.
Barrick Gold (ABX -2.02%) was upgraded to ‘Neutral’ from ‘Underweight’ at HSBC.
Acuity Brands (AYI -0.03%) was upgraded to ‘Buy’ from ‘Neutral’ at Goldman Sachs.
Cree (CREE -1.32%) was downgraded to ‘Neutral’ from ‘Buy’ at Goldman Sachs.
Yahoo! (YHOO +3.93%) rose nearly 3% in pre-market trading after Alibaba, the Chinese e-commerce company in which Yahoo is the second-biggest shareholder, said it plans to increase the top end of its IPO price range to above $70 amid stong investor demand.
Chuy’s (CHUY -0.66%) was upgraded to ‘Buy’ from ‘Hold’ at KeyBanc.
Universal Health (UHS -1.36%) will replace Peabody Coal (BTU unch) in the S&P 500 as of the close of trading on Sep 19.
United Rentals (URI +0.43%) will replace Graham Holdings (GHC -0.38%) in the S&P 500 as of the close of trading on Sep 19.
HSBC (HSBC +0.55%) confirms it will pay the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) $550 million to settle the claims brought by FHFA in 2011 related to residential mortgage-backed securities that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac purchased from HSBC between 2005 and 2007.
P2 Capital Partners reported a 5.4% stake in Blackhawk (HAWK -0.18%).
Earnings and Economic Numbers from seekingalpha.com…
Today’s economic calendar:
8:30 Empire State Mfg Survey
9:15 Industrial Production

Notable earnings before today’s open: none
Notable earnings after today’s close: none
Other
today’s upgrades/downgrades from briefing.com
this week’s Earnings
this week’s Economic Numbers

0 thoughts on “Before the Open (Sep 15)

  1. the market has been moving down in a strugling fashion constant with the work of the quad witches
    it could turn into a fast move down but unlikely considering the instos are the market makers for the quad witches [ quarterly options ex]
    the instos take the oposite trade to the retailers or long only mutuals
    yes the introduction of day and weekly options has taken the sting out of it a bit but the quarterly options is when the futures contract rolls over
    Gann says the markets move in time cycles
    one of those cycles is the 30-60- 90 and 180 day cycle
    trend changes can occure on the 90 or 180 day cycle
    interesting when you look at it from a options point of view
    they dont have to fall directly on opts ex days but they can be important highs or lows
    we have one time cycle –the 180 day falling on this fridays quad witch
    derivitive rule the world
    forget mother stocks become a derivitive and have fun with margin trading

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